arXiv:2512.01478cs.CVcs.MA2025-12

用骨骼数据预测篮球动作,比仅靠位置信息准35%。

CourtMotion: Learning Event-Driven Motion Representations from Skeletal Data for Basketball

  • 先用图神经网络分析骨骼运动,再用Transformer捕捉球员互动
  • 轨迹预测误差降35%,多个篮球分析任务表现更优
  • 适合做篮球动作识别、战术分析的开发者和研究者

本文提出CourtMotion,一种时空建模框架,用于分析和预测职业篮球比赛中实时发生的事件与战术。理解篮球事件不仅需要物理运动模式,还需把握其在比赛语境中的语义意义。传统仅依赖球员位置的方法无法捕捉身体朝向、防守姿态或投篮准备等关键信号。我们的两阶段方法首先通过图神经网络处理骨骼追踪数据以提取细微运动特征,再利用带有专用注意力机制的Transformer建模球员间交互。引入事件投影头,显式关联球员动作与传球、投篮、抢断等篮球事件,训练模型将运动模式与战术意图对齐。在NBA追踪数据上的实验表明,相比基于位置的先进模型,轨迹预测误差降低35%,且在多个核心篮球分析任务中持续取得提升。预训练模型可作为多种下游任务的强大基础,包括挡拆检测、投篮手识别、助攻预测、投篮位置分类和投篮类型识别,均显著优于现有方法。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This paper presents CourtMotion, a spatiotemporal modeling framework for analyzing and predicting game events and plays as they develop in professional basketball. Anticipating basketball events requires understanding both physical motion patterns and their semantic significance in the context of the game. Traditional approaches that use only player positions fail to capture crucial indicators such as body orientation, defensive stance, or shooting preparation motions. Our two-stage approach first processes skeletal tracking data through Graph Neural Networks to capture nuanced motion patterns, then employs a Transformer architecture with specialized attention mechanisms to model player interactions. We introduce event projection heads that explicitly connect player movements to basketball events like passes, shots, and steals, training the model to associate physical motion patterns with their tactical purposes. Experiments on NBA tracking data demonstrate significant improvements over position-only baselines: 35% reduction in trajectory prediction error compared to state-of-the-art position-based models and consistent performance gains across key basketball analytics tasks. The resulting pretrained model serves as a powerful foundation for multiple downstream tasks, with pick detection, shot taker identification, assist prediction, shot location classification, and shot type recognition demonstrating substantial improvements over existing methods.

篮球分析骨骼数据事件预测图神经网络

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