arXiv:2512.01984eess.SYcs.LG2025-12被引 2

提出能量约束算子,让混沌系统预测稳定且有理论保证。

ECO: Energy-Constrained Operator Learning for Chaotic Dynamics with Boundedness Guarantees

  • 用可学习的能量函数设计约束,确保模型预测不发散。
  • 在柯尔莫哥洛夫-希瓦辛斯基和纳维-斯托克斯方程上实现长期稳定预测。
  • 首次为数据驱动混沌模型提供轨迹有界性证明,适合研究复杂系统者。

混沌是天气系统与流体湍流等复杂动力系统的本质特征,因其对初值极端敏感而难以预测。许多混沌系统具有耗散性和遍历性,促使人们发展数据驱动模型以学习长时序下的不变统计特性。尽管近期模型在保持不变统计方面表现良好,却常产生无界预测,阻碍统计评估。为此,本文提出能量约束算子(ECO),在学习系统动态的同时强制预测有界。基于控制理论,构建依赖可学习能量函数的代数条件,确保学习到的动力学为耗散型。通过一个高效闭式二次投影层实现这些条件,提供可证明的轨迹有界性。据我们所知,这是首个为数据驱动混沌动力学模型建立此类形式化保证的工作。此外,学习到的不变水平集可作为奇异吸引子的外估计,该结构在计算上难以刻画。实验表明,ECO在柯尔莫哥洛夫-希瓦辛斯基和纳维-斯托克斯方程等由混沌偏微分方程支配的系统中,能够生成稳定的长期预测,并准确捕捉其不变统计特性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Chaos is a fundamental feature of many complex dynamical systems, including weather systems and fluid turbulence. These systems are inherently difficult to predict due to their extreme sensitivity to initial conditions. Many chaotic systems are dissipative and ergodic, motivating data-driven models that aim to learn invariant statistical properties over long time horizons. While recent models have shown empirical success in preserving invariant statistics, they are prone to generating unbounded predictions, which prevent meaningful statistics evaluation. To overcome this, we introduce the Energy-Constrained Operator (ECO) that simultaneously learns the system dynamics while enforcing boundedness in predictions. We leverage concepts from control theory to develop algebraic conditions based on a learnable energy function, ensuring the learned dynamics is dissipative. ECO enforces these algebraic conditions through an efficient closed-form quadratic projection layer, which provides provable trajectory boundedness. To our knowledge, this is the first work establishing such formal guarantees for data-driven chaotic dynamics models. Additionally, the learned invariant level set provides an outer estimate for the strange attractor, a complex structure that is computationally intractable to characterize. We demonstrate empirical success in ECO's ability to generate stable long-horizon forecasts, capturing invariant statistics on systems governed by chaotic PDEs, including the Kuramoto--Sivashinsky and the Navier--Stokes equations.

混沌系统能量约束有界性保证数据驱动

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