arXiv:2512.04771cs.MAcs.LG2025-12

用扩散模型补全代理模型的动态分析,同时捕捉时间规律与分布结构。

Complementary Characterization of Agent-Based Models via Computational Mechanics and Diffusion Models

  • 结合ε-机器与扩散模型,分别分析时间序列与高维分布。
  • 首次实现计算力学与生成模型在代理模型分析中的互补融合。
  • 适合研究复杂系统建模、仿真数据结构分析的学者使用。

本文在先前预印本基础上,引入扩散模型作为正交且互补的工具,用于刻画代理模型(ABM)输出的特性。ε-机器捕捉ABM生成时间序列的预测性时序结构与内在计算特征,而扩散模型则刻画高维横截面分布、学习底层数据流形,并能生成合理的群体水平结果。我们进行了形式化分析,证明两者作用于不同数学域——过程与分布——其结合形成基于时序组织与分布几何的双轴表征。这是首个将计算力学与基于得分的生成建模集成于ABM输出结构性分析的框架,使代理模型分析融入现代机器学习中的密度估计与内在计算方法体系。该框架在前文所用老年照护者代理模型数据集上得到验证,并提供了精确的定义与命题以形式化ε-机器与扩散模型之间的数学互补性。这建立了一种联合分析复杂模拟模型中时序可预测性与高维分布结构的原理性方法。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This article extends the preprint "Characterizing Agent-Based Model Dynamics via $ε$-Machines and Kolmogorov-Style Complexity" by introducing diffusion models as orthogonal and complementary tools for characterizing the output of agent-based models (ABMs). Where $ε$-machines capture the predictive temporal structure and intrinsic computation of ABM-generated time series, diffusion models characterize high-dimensional cross-sectional distributions, learn underlying data manifolds, and enable synthetic generation of plausible population-level outcomes. We provide a formal analysis demonstrating that the two approaches operate on distinct mathematical domains -- processes vs. distributions -- and show that their combination yields a two-axis representation of ABM behavior based on temporal organization and distributional geometry. To our knowledge, this is the first framework to integrate computational mechanics with score-based generative modeling for the structural analysis of ABM outputs, thereby situating ABM characterization within the broader landscape of modern machine-learning methods for density estimation and intrinsic computation. The framework is validated using the same elder-caregiver ABM dataset introduced in the companion paper, and we provide precise definitions and propositions formalizing the mathematical complementarity between $ε$-machines and diffusion models. This establishes a principled methodology for jointly analyzing temporal predictability and high-dimensional distributional structure in complex simulation models.

代理模型扩散模型计算力学结构分析

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