arXiv:2512.07219cs.MAcs.GT2025-12被引 2

分析自动驾驶车与人工车变道互动,发现合作行为随时间增强。

Characterizing Lane-Changing Behavior in Mixed Traffic

  • 用博弈论建模变道中主动车与被动车的互动行为
  • 4%和11%的变道场景存在社会困境,多数为猎鹿或囚徒困境
  • 模拟显示重复交互下合作行为持续提升,无论自动驾驶渗透率

在自动驾驶车辆(AV)与人类驾驶车辆(HDV)共存的混合交通中,理解变道行为对安全与效率至关重要。本研究基于Waymo Open Motion Dataset(WOMD)中的真实轨迹数据,分析7,636次变道事件,探讨主动变道车与目标车道受直接影响车(被动车)之间的互动模式。提出一种博弈论框架,结合k-means聚类识别车辆合作或非合作行为,发现合作型AV在主动与被动角色中占比均高于HDV。通过量化响应均衡模型联合估计双方效用,构建实证收益表,并利用演化博弈理论分析社会困境的存在及合作行为演化。结果显示,约4%和11%的主动与被动变道事件存在社会困境,其中多数为猎鹿困境或囚徒困境(鸡肋博弈罕见)。蒙特卡洛模拟表明,无论自动驾驶渗透率如何,重复变道交互均促使合作行为持续上升。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Characterizing and understanding lane-changing behavior in the presence of automated vehicles (AVs) is crucial to ensuring safety and efficiency in mixed traffic. Accordingly, this study aims to characterize the interactions between the lane-changing vehicle (active vehicle) and the vehicle directly impacted by the maneuver in the target lane (passive vehicle). Utilizing real-world trajectory data from the Waymo Open Motion Dataset (WOMD), this study explores patterns in lane-changing behavior and provides insight into how these behaviors evolve under different AV market penetration rates (MPRs). In particular, we propose a game-theoretic framework to analyze cooperative and defective behaviors in mixed traffic, applied to the 7,636 observed lane-changing events in the WOMD. First, we utilize k-means clustering to classify vehicles as cooperative or defective, revealing that the proportions of cooperative AVs are higher than those of HDVs in both active and passive roles. Next, we jointly estimate the utilities of active and passive vehicles to model their behaviors using the quantal response equilibrium framework. Empirical payoff tables are then constructed based on these utilities. Using these payoffs, we analyze the presence of social dilemmas and examine the evolution of cooperative behaviors using evolutionary game theory. Our results reveal the presence of social dilemmas in approximately 4% and 11% of lane-changing events for active and passive vehicles, respectively, with most classified as Stag Hunt or Prisoner's Dilemma (Chicken Game rarely observed). Moreover, the Monte Carlo simulation results show that repeated lane-changing interactions consistently lead to increased cooperative behavior over time, regardless of the AV penetration rate.

变道行为博弈论自动驾驶

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