回顾机器学习发展脉络,梳理关键思想源头与跨学科影响。
Machine Learning: Progress and Prospects
- 从1949年香农棋类学习算法追溯至更早的统计判别分析与归纳逻辑。
- 指出机器学习起源可回溯至18世纪归纳推理与14世纪奥卡姆剃刀思想。
- 强调其跨学科融合特性,涵盖归纳学习、神经网络、聚类等多条研究路径。
本讲座为1996年在伦敦皇家霍洛威大学的首场讲座,介绍了机器学习的基本概念,并概述了该领域的理论进展与实际项目。本文以原始形式呈现,但加入了2025年的几点评注以反映近期发展,并更新了参考文献列表以提高读者查阅的便利性与准确性。机器学习起源于何时?一个可能的起点是1949年,克劳德·香农提出用于国际象棋程序的自学习算法;也可能应追溯至1930年代,罗纳德·费舍尔发展出判别分析——一种通过构造决策规则区分两类向量的学习方法;又或者可上溯至18世纪大卫·休谟关于归纳法的探讨;甚至可回到14世纪威廉·奥卡姆提出的“简约性”原则(即奥卡姆剃刀);而如西方文明大多数思想一般,这些理念或许都源于地中海地区。毕竟,亚里士多德曾言:“我们唯有通过实践才能学会某些事物。” 机器学习深受其他学科影响,本身并非高度统一的领域,而是由多个相互重叠的子领域构成:归纳学习、神经网络、聚类以及学习理论等,皆属广义机器学习范畴。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
This Inaugural Lecture was given at Royal Holloway University of London in 1996. It covers an introduction to machine learning and describes various theoretical advances and practical projects in the field. The Lecture here is presented in its original format, but a few remarks have been added in 2025 to reflect recent developments, and the list of references has been updated to enhance the convenience and accuracy for readers. When did machine learning start? Maybe a good starting point is 1949, when Claude Shannon proposed a learning algorithm for chess-playing programs. Or maybe we should go back to the 1930s when Ronald Fisher developed discriminant analysis - a type of learning where the problem is to construct a decision rule that separates two types of vectors. Or could it be the 18th century when David Hume discussed the idea of induction? Or the 14th century, when William of Ockham formulated the principle of "simplicity" known as "Ockham's razor" (Ockham, by the way, is a small village not far from Royal Holloway). Or it may be that, like almost everything else in Western civilisation and culture, the origin of these ideas lies in the Mediterranean. After all, it was Aristotle who said that "we learn some things only by doing things". The field of machine learning has been greatly influenced by other disciplines and the subject is in itself not a very homogeneous discipline, but includes separate, overlapping subfields. There are many parallel lines of research in ML: inductive learning, neural networks, clustering, and theories of learning. They are all part of the more general field of machine learning.
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