用轻量VAE模型,24-30小时即可检测苏丹战区火灾痕迹。
Near--Real-Time Conflict-Related Fire Detection in Sudan Using Unsupervised Deep Learning
- 用无监督VAE模型分析多时相4波段卫星影像,捕捉地表变化
- 在苏丹5个案例中,召回率和F1值均优于对比方法
- 仅需3米分辨率4波段数据,适合快速部署的冲突监测
苏丹持续武装冲突凸显了对战区火灾影响区域快速监测的需求。借助深度学习与高频卫星影像的进步,可实现战区活跃火点与烧毁痕迹的近实时评估。本研究提出一种基于轻量变分自编码器(VAE)的近实时监测方法,结合4波段行星实验室(Planet Labs)3米空间分辨率影像。在理想观测条件下,该方法可在约24至30小时内完成检测。通过将原用于10波段影像的VAE模型适配至高分辨率4波段输入,以无监督方式学习正常地表条件的紧凑潜在表示,并通过量化时序配对潜在嵌入间的差异来识别烧毁特征。在苏丹五个案例研究中,采用精确率、召回率、F1分数及精度-召回曲线下面积(AUPRC)评估性能,结果表明所提方法显著优于余弦距离、CVA和IR-MAD,在高度不平衡的火灾检测场景中保持高召回率和高F1值。使用8波段影像与时序序列仅带来微弱性能提升,凸显该轻量级方法在可扩展近实时冲突监测中的有效性。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Ongoing armed conflict in Sudan highlights the need for rapid monitoring of conflict-related fire-affected areas. Recent advances in deep learning and high-frequency satellite imagery enable near--real-time assessment of active fires and burn scars in war zones. This study presents a near--real-time monitoring approach using a lightweight Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE)--based model integrated with 4-band Planet Labs imagery at 3 m spatial resolution. We demonstrate that these impacted regions can be detected within approximately 24 to 30 hours under favorable observational conditions using accessible, commercially available satellite data. To achieve this, we adapt a VAE--based model, originally designed for 10-band imagery, to operate effectively on high-resolution 4-band inputs. The model is trained in an unsupervised manner to learn compact latent representations of nominal land-surface conditions and identify burn signatures by quantifying changes between temporally paired latent embeddings. Performance is evaluated across five case studies in Sudan and compared against cosine distance, CVA, and IR-MAD using precision, recall, F1-score, and the area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) computed between temporally paired image tiles. Results show that the proposed approach consistently outperforms the other methods, achieving higher recall and F1-scores while maintaining viable precision in highly imbalanced fire-detection scenarios. Experiments with 8-band imagery and temporal image sequences yield only marginal performance gains over single 4-band inputs, underscoring the effectiveness of the proposed lightweight approach for scalable, near--real-time conflict monitoring.
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