用机器学习预测土壤承载力,效率远超传统实验。
Predicting California Bearing Ratio with Ensemble and Neural Network Models: A Case Study from Turkiye
- 整合12种模型,用382组土样数据训练随机森林最佳
- 测试集R²达0.83,显著优于传统实验室测试
- 适合土木工程、智能基建领域快速评估地基
加州承载比(CBR)是评估路基土体承重能力的关键指标,广泛应用于交通基础设施与基础设计。传统方法依赖实验室贯入试验,虽准确但耗时长、成本高,尤其难以应对大规模或多样土质情况。近年来,人工智能特别是机器学习(ML)的发展为复杂土体行为建模提供了高效精准的数据驱动方案。本研究构建了全面的机器学习框架,基于来自土耳其多个气候地质区的382组土样数据,涵盖影响承载力的物理化学特性,实现多维特征的监督学习。对比测试了决策树、随机森林、极端随机树、梯度提升、XGBoost、K近邻、支持向量回归、多层感知机、AdaBoost、Bagging、投票和堆叠等12种算法。各模型经训练、验证与评估后,随机森林回归器表现最优,在训练集、验证集和测试集上分别取得0.95、0.76和0.83的R²值,展现出强大的非线性映射能力,证明其在预测地质任务中的潜力。研究支持将智能数据模型融入岩土工程,为传统方法提供有效替代,推动基础设施分析与设计的数字化转型。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The California Bearing Ratio (CBR) is a key geotechnical indicator used to assess the load-bearing capacity of subgrade soils, especially in transportation infrastructure and foundation design. Traditional CBR determination relies on laboratory penetration tests. Despite their accuracy, these tests are often time-consuming, costly, and can be impractical, particularly for large-scale or diverse soil profiles. Recent progress in artificial intelligence, especially machine learning (ML), has enabled data-driven approaches for modeling complex soil behavior with greater speed and precision. This study introduces a comprehensive ML framework for CBR prediction using a dataset of 382 soil samples collected from various geoclimatic regions in Türkiye. The dataset includes physicochemical soil properties relevant to bearing capacity, allowing multidimensional feature representation in a supervised learning context. Twelve ML algorithms were tested, including decision tree, random forest, extra trees, gradient boosting, xgboost, k-nearest neighbors, support vector regression, multi-layer perceptron, adaboost, bagging, voting, and stacking regressors. Each model was trained, validated, and evaluated to assess its generalization and robustness. Among them, the random forest regressor performed the best, achieving strong R2 scores of 0.95 (training), 0.76 (validation), and 0.83 (test). These outcomes highlight the model's powerful nonlinear mapping ability, making it a promising tool for predictive geotechnical tasks. The study supports the integration of intelligent, data-centric models in geotechnical engineering, offering an effective alternative to traditional methods and promoting digital transformation in infrastructure analysis and design.
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