arXiv:2512.09269cs.LGcs.IR2025-12中稿 · presentation at th…被引 1

用改进粒子滤波推断智能体目标,更准更快。

Goal inference with Rao-Blackwellized Particle Filters

  • 用解析法处理线性部分,只更新粒子权重,提升效率。
  • 实验显示对合规智能体能快速准确恢复目标意图。
  • 适合研究意图推断或对抗性控制的开发者参考。

从移动智能体轨迹的噪声观测中推断其最终目标,是基础的估计问题。本文首次采用一种改进的拉奥-布莱克韦尔化粒子滤波器(RBPF),在假设智能体意图通过具备可证明实用稳定性的闭环行为体现的前提下,利用已知的闭式动态模型,对线性高斯子结构进行解析积分,仅更新粒子权重,从而提高采样效率。提出两种差异估计器:基于RBPF权重的高斯混合模型,以及将混合范围限制在有效样本的简化版本。通过信息论泄漏度量评估对手恢复意图的能力,并给出真实意图分布与RBPF估计之间KL散度的可计算下界,基于高斯混合KL边界。还提供了两个估计器性能差异的上界,表明简化估计器几乎与完整版本表现相当。实验表明,对于合规智能体,该方法能实现快速且精确的目标恢复,为设计意图混淆控制器提供了动机。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Inferring the eventual goal of a mobile agent from noisy observations of its trajectory is a fundamental estimation problem. We initiate the study of such intent inference using a variant of a Rao-Blackwellized Particle Filter (RBPF), subject to the assumption that the agent's intent manifests through closed-loop behavior with a state-of-the-art provable practical stability property. Leveraging the assumed closed-form agent dynamics, the RBPF analytically marginalizes the linear-Gaussian substructure and updates particle weights only, improving sample efficiency over a standard particle filter. Two difference estimators are introduced: a Gaussian mixture model using the RBPF weights and a reduced version confining the mixture to the effective sample. We quantify how well the adversary can recover the agent's intent using information-theoretic leakage metrics and provide computable lower bounds on the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence between the true intent distribution and RBPF estimates via Gaussian-mixture KL bounds. We also provide a bound on the difference in performance between the two estimators, highlighting the fact that the reduced estimator performs almost as well as the complete one. Experiments illustrate fast and accurate intent recovery for compliant agents, motivating future work on designing intent-obfuscating controllers.

意图推断粒子滤波状态估计

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。