arXiv:2512.09368cs.LGstat.ME2025-12KDD被引 1

用反事实学习让红绿灯更安全,减少事故

CFLight: Enhancing Safety with Traffic Signal Control through Counterfactual Learning

  • 通过反事实学习回溯事故前的动作,判断是否可避免
  • 在真实与合成数据上碰撞率显著降低,接近零事故
  • 适合交通信号控制、智能城市等安全优先场景

交通事故每年造成全球数百万伤亡,其中大量发生在交叉路口。交通信号控制(TSC)是提升此类区域安全的有效手段。尽管强化学习(RL)在优化TSC中日益流行,但其常侧重效率而忽视安全,难以平衡二者关系,且缺乏可解释性。反事实(CF)学习为因果分析提供新思路。本文提出一种基于反事实学习的新框架,解决核心问题:‘若发生不安全事件,回溯至此前采取替代动作,该事件后续是否仍会发生?’为此,我们构建新型结构因果模型预测不同动作后果,并设计新反事实模块,集成额外‘X’模块以促进安全强化学习。由此衍生的算法CFLight,通过近零碰撞控制策略显著提升交叉路口安全性。在真实与合成数据集上的大量实验表明,相比传统RL方法及近期安全强化学习模型,CFLight有效降低碰撞率并提升整体交通性能。该方法具有通用性与安全性,为其他领域提供应用可能。代码与数据见GitHub:https://github.com/AdvancedAI-ComplexSystem/SmartCity/tree/main/CFLight。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Traffic accidents result in millions of injuries and fatalities globally, with a significant number occurring at intersections each year. Traffic Signal Control (TSC) is an effective strategy for enhancing safety at these urban junctures. Despite the growing popularity of Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods in optimizing TSC, these methods often prioritize driving efficiency over safety, thus failing to address the critical balance between these two aspects. Additionally, these methods usually need more interpretability. CounterFactual (CF) learning is a promising approach for various causal analysis fields. In this study, we introduce a novel framework to improve RL for safety aspects in TSC. This framework introduces a novel method based on CF learning to address the question: ``What if, when an unsafe event occurs, we backtrack to perform alternative actions, and will this unsafe event still occur in the subsequent period?'' To answer this question, we propose a new structure causal model to predict the result after executing different actions, and we propose a new CF module that integrates with additional ``X'' modules to promote safe RL practices. Our new algorithm, CFLight, which is derived from this framework, effectively tackles challenging safety events and significantly improves safety at intersections through a near-zero collision control strategy. Through extensive numerical experiments on both real-world and synthetic datasets, we demonstrate that CFLight reduces collisions and improves overall traffic performance compared to conventional RL methods and the recent safe RL model. Moreover, our method represents a generalized and safe framework for RL methods, opening possibilities for applications in other domains. The data and code are available in the github https://github.com/AdvancedAI-ComplexSystem/SmartCity/tree/main/CFLight.

交通信号反事实学习安全强化学习智能交通

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