arXiv:2512.09576cs.CVphysics.geo-ph2025-12被引 1

用遥感+物理模型,实现全球农田土壤养分精准估测。

Seeing Soil from Space: Towards Robust and Scalable Remote Soil Nutrient Analysis

  • 融合物理模型与大模型嵌入,提升土壤属性预测能力。
  • 对有机碳和氮的预测误差低至MAE 5.12g/kg、0.44g/kg。
  • 支持碳交易等场景,适合农业数字化与环境评估应用。

环境变量正日益影响农业决策,但可获取且可扩展的土壤评估工具仍有限。本研究提出一种稳健且可扩展的建模系统,利用遥感数据与环境协变量估算农田土壤属性,包括土壤有机碳(SOC)、总氮(N)、有效磷(P)、交换性钾(K)及pH。系统采用混合建模方法,结合间接代理变量建模与直接光谱建模。通过引入基于辐射传输模型(RTMs)的可解释物理协变量,以及来自基础模型的复杂非线性嵌入,拓展了现有方法。在覆盖欧洲多种成土气候区的统一数据集上进行验证,采用严格的时空阻隔、分层划分与统计独立的训练测试集,使评估更具挑战性并生成更真实的未知区域误差估计。模型在未见地点表现稳定,对SOC和N的预测精度最高:SOC的平均绝对误差(MAE)为5.12 g/kg,一致性相关系数(CCC)为0.77;N的MAE为0.44 g/kg,CCC为0.77。通过置信校准评估不确定性,实现了目标置信水平下的90%覆盖率。该研究推动农业数字化进程,构建可扩展的数据驱动土壤分析框架,可延伸至碳市场等需要定量土壤评估的领域。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Environmental variables are increasingly affecting agricultural decision-making, yet accessible and scalable tools for soil assessment remain limited. This study presents a robust and scalable modeling system for estimating soil properties in croplands, including soil organic carbon (SOC), total nitrogen (N), available phosphorus (P), exchangeable potassium (K), and pH, using remote sensing data and environmental covariates. The system employs a hybrid modeling approach, combining the indirect methods of modeling soil through proxies and drivers with direct spectral modeling. We extend current approaches by using interpretable physics-informed covariates derived from radiative transfer models (RTMs) and complex, nonlinear embeddings from a foundation model. We validate the system on a harmonized dataset that covers Europes cropland soils across diverse pedoclimatic zones. Evaluation is conducted under a robust validation framework that enforces strict spatial blocking, stratified splits, and statistically distinct train-test sets, which deliberately make the evaluation harder and produce more realistic error estimates for unseen regions. The models achieved their highest accuracy for SOC and N. This performance held across unseen locations, under both spatial cross-validation and an independent test set. SOC obtained a MAE of 5.12 g/kg and a CCC of 0.77, and N obtained a MAE of 0.44 g/kg and a CCC of 0.77. We also assess uncertainty through conformal calibration, achieving 90 percent coverage at the target confidence level. This study contributes to the digital advancement of agriculture through the application of scalable, data-driven soil analysis frameworks that can be extended to related domains requiring quantitative soil evaluation, such as carbon markets.

土壤分析遥感建模碳交易

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