arXiv:2512.11845cs.LGcs.AI2025-12被引 1

用可变形分块与频域注意力提升机场客流预测精度。

Airport Passenger Flow Forecasting via Deformable Temporal-Spectral Transformer Approach

  • 动态分块捕捉不同时间阶段的异构趋势。
  • 频域注意力同时建模高频波动与低频周期性。
  • 适合需要高精度客流预测的智慧机场场景。

准确预测旅客流量对保障机场运营效率与韧性至关重要。现有基于图像块的Transformer模型虽在时序预测中表现良好,但多依赖固定尺寸块嵌入,难以捕捉机场客流复杂且异质的模式。为此,本文提出可变形时空变换器DTSFormer,融合多尺度可变形分区模块与联合时频滤波模块。输入序列通过新型基于窗口函数的掩码机制实现动态多尺度时间块划分,从而提取不同时间阶段的异构趋势。每个尺度内设计频域注意力机制,以捕获高低频成分,强调客流中的波动性与周期性特征。最终在时域融合多频特征,联合建模短期波动与长期趋势。在2023年1月至2024年3月北京首都国际机场的真实客流数据上进行全面实验,结果表明所提方法在不同预测时长下均优于现有先进模型。进一步分析显示,可变形分区模块能对齐块长与主导周期及异构趋势,显著提升对突发高频波动的捕捉能力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate forecasting of passenger flows is critical for maintaining the efficiency and resilience of airport operations. Recent advances in patch-based Transformer models have shown strong potential in various time series forecasting tasks. However, most existing methods rely on fixed-size patch embedding, making it difficult to model the complex and heterogeneous patterns of airport passenger flows. To address this issue, this paper proposes a deformable temporal-spectral transformer named DTSFormer that integrates a multiscale deformable partitioning module and a joint temporal-spectral filtering module. Specifically, the input sequence is dynamically partitioned into multiscale temporal patches via a novel window function-based masking, enabling the extraction of heterogeneous trends across different temporal stages. Then, within each scale, a frequency-domain attention mechanism is designed to capture both high- and low-frequency components, thereby emphasizing the volatility and periodicity inherent in airport passenger flows. Finally, the resulting multi-frequency features are subsequently fused in the time domain to jointly model short-term fluctuations and long-term trends. Comprehensive experiments are conducted on real-world passenger flow data collected at Beijing Capital International Airport from January 2023 to March 2024. The results indicate that the proposed method consistently outperforms state-of-the-art forecasting models across different prediction horizons. Further analysis shows that the deformable partitioning module aligns patch lengths with dominant periods and heterogeneous trends, enabling superior capture of sudden high-frequency fluctuations.

客流预测Transformer时序建模机场智能

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