arXiv:2512.14331cs.RO2025-12被引 6

让机器人实时适应动态变化,能自动识别突变并快速重学。

ARCADE: Adaptive Robot Control with Online Changepoint-Aware Bayesian Dynamics Learning

  • 用隐变量检测动态是否变化,连续时累积证据,突变时重置记忆。
  • 实测预测误差更低,飞行中突然掉包也能快速恢复稳定。
  • 适合需要长期稳定运行的机器人系统,如无人机、机械臂。

真实世界的机器人需应对由工况变化、外部干扰和未建模效应引起的动态演化,这些可能表现为渐进漂移、瞬时波动或突发跃迁,要求实时适应能力——既对短期波动鲁棒,又能响应长期变化。我们提出一种可从流数据实时更新的非线性动力学建模框架。该方法将表示学习与在线自适应解耦,利用离线学习的隐表示支持在线闭式贝叶斯更新。为应对动态演化,引入基于数据似然推断的变点感知机制,通过隐变量判断连续性或突变。当连续性高时,证据累积以优化预测;一旦检测到突变,历史信息被削弱以实现快速再学习。该设计保持校准的不确定性,支持对瞬时、渐进或结构性变化的概率推理。理论上证明,框架的自适应遗憾随时间仅对数增长,且与突变次数呈线性关系,性能接近已知突变时刻的最优基准。在倒立摆仿真和带摆动载荷及中段掉落的真实四轴飞行器实验中验证,相比基线方法,本方法显著提升预测精度、加快恢复速度,并实现更优闭环跟踪性能。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Real-world robots must operate under evolving dynamics caused by changing operating conditions, external disturbances, and unmodeled effects. These may appear as gradual drifts, transient fluctuations, or abrupt shifts, demanding real-time adaptation that is robust to short-term variation yet responsive to lasting change. We propose a framework for modeling the nonlinear dynamics of robotic systems that can be updated in real time from streaming data. The method decouples representation learning from online adaptation, using latent representations learned offline to support online closed-form Bayesian updates. To handle evolving conditions, we introduce a changepoint-aware mechanism with a latent variable inferred from data likelihoods that indicates continuity or shift. When continuity is likely, evidence accumulates to refine predictions; when a shift is detected, past information is tempered to enable rapid re-learning. This maintains calibrated uncertainty and supports probabilistic reasoning about transient, gradual, or structural change. We prove that the adaptive regret of the framework grows only logarithmically in time and linearly with the number of shifts, competitive with an oracle that knows timings of shift. We validate on cartpole simulations and real quadrotor flights with swinging payloads and mid-flight drops, showing improved predictive accuracy, faster recovery, and more accurate closed-loop tracking than relevant baselines.

机器人控制在线学习变点检测

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。