arXiv:2512.15681eess.IV2025-12

用影像和临床数据预测脑转移复发,提升早期干预可能性。

Radiomics and Clinical Features in Predictive Modelling of Brain Metastases Recurrence

  • 结合治疗前后的CT/MRI与临床数据,提取变化特征进行建模。
  • 集成模型在53例患者中实现复发预测,提示放疗剂量差异与复发相关。
  • 适合肿瘤放疗、影像组学研究者参考,推动AI辅助决策。

脑转移影响20%至40%的癌症患者,通常采用放疗或立体定向放射外科治疗。早期预测复发可促进及时干预,改善预后。本研究提出一种基于人工智能的多模态影像与临床数据融合方法,用于预测脑转移复发。回顾性纳入97例患者,包括治疗前及首次随访时的CT与MRI,以及相关临床变量。图像预处理包含CT窗宽调整、伪影去除、MRI增强及多模态配准。符合标准后保留53例用于分析。从影像中提取放射组学特征,采用Δ放射组学分析治疗前后变化。训练并评估多种机器学习分类器,同时分析计划靶区与实际照射剂量分布之间的差异。尽管样本量小且类别不平衡,结果表明基于放射组学的集成模型具备复发预测可行性,并提示放疗剂量偏差可能与复发风险相关。该研究支持进一步开发AI工具以辅助脑转移管理中的临床决策。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Brain metastases affect approximately between 20% and 40% of cancer patients and are commonly treated with radiotherapy or radiosurgery. Early prediction of recurrence following treatment could enable timely clinical intervention and improve patient outcomes. This study proposes an artificial intelligence based approach for predicting brain metastasis recurrence using multimodal imaging and clinical data. A retrospective cohort of 97 patients was collected, including Computed Tomography (CT) and Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) acquired before treatment and at first follow-up, together with relevant clinical variables. Image preprocessing included CT windowing and artifact reduction, MRI enhancement, and multimodal CT MRI registration. After applying inclusion criteria, 53 patients were retained for analysis. Radiomics features were extracted from the imaging data, and delta radiomics was employed to characterize temporal changes between pre-treatment and follow-up scans. Multiple machine learning classifiers were trained and evaluated, including an analysis of discrepancies between treatment planning target volumes and delivered isodose volumes. Despite limitations related to sample size and class imbalance, the results demonstrate the feasibility of radiomics based models, namely ensemble models, for recurrence prediction and suggest a potential association between radiation dose discrepancies and recurrence risk. This work supports further investigation of AI-driven tools to assist clinical decision-making in brain metastasis management.

脑转移影像组学复发预测AI辅助

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