arXiv:2512.17100cs.LGcs.AI2025-12

提出通用反事实解释框架,让心电图分类模型决策更透明可懂。

UniCoMTE: A Universal Counterfactual Framework for Explaining Time-Series Classifiers on ECG Data

  • 通过修改输入信号找关键时间特征,生成可解释的反事实样本。
  • 相比LIME和SHAP,解释更清晰、稳定且临床专家认可度更高。
  • 适用于任意模型架构,直接处理原始心电图数据,适合医疗场景。

深度神经网络在复杂时序数据分类中表现优异,但其黑箱特性限制了在高风险领域(如医疗)的信任与应用。为此,我们提出UniCoMTE——一种通用的、模型无关的多变量时序分类器反事实解释框架。该框架通过修改输入样本并评估其对模型预测的影响,识别出影响预测的关键时间特征。UniCoMTE兼容多种模型结构,直接作用于原始时序数据。我们在心电图分类任务上评估该框架,通过对比现有方法(LIME、SHAP)的可理解性,并测试解释在相似样本上的泛化能力,验证其有效性。此外,邀请医学专家对反事实解释进行问卷评价。结果表明,该方法生成的解释更简洁、稳定,且与人类认知一致,在清晰度和实用性上优于现有方法。通过将模型决策关联到有意义的信号模式,显著提升了深度学习在真实时序应用中的可解释性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Machine learning models, particularly deep neural networks, have demonstrated strong performance in classifying complex time series data. However, their black-box nature limits trust and adoption, especially in high-stakes domains such as healthcare. To address this challenge, we introduce UniCoMTE, a model-agnostic framework for generating counterfactual explanations for multivariate time series classifiers. The framework identifies temporal features that most heavily influence a model's prediction by modifying the input sample and assessing its impact on the model's prediction. UniCoMTE is compatible with a wide range of model architectures and operates directly on raw time series inputs. In this study, we evaluate UniCoMTE's explanations on a time series ECG classifier. We quantify explanation quality by comparing our explanations' comprehensibility to comprehensibility of established techniques (LIME and SHAP) and assessing their generalizability to similar samples. Furthermore, clinical utility is assessed through a questionnaire completed by medical experts who review counterfactual explanations presented alongside original ECG samples. Results show that our approach produces concise, stable, and human-aligned explanations that outperform existing methods in both clarity and applicability. By linking model predictions to meaningful signal patterns, the framework advances the interpretability of deep learning models for real-world time series applications.

时序解释医疗AI反事实心电图

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