用智能代理模拟工厂间资源交易,揭示循环经济发展条件。
Adaptive Agents in Spatial Double-Auction Markets: Modeling the Emergence of Industrial Symbiosis
- 企业通过强化学习自适应调整投标策略,考虑运输成本与排放惩罚。
- 空间结构和市场参数共同决定资源再利用的稳定效率水平。
- 适合研究可持续政策设计或分布式市场机制的学者参考。
工业共生通过企业间再利用废弃物资源促进循环经济,但其发展受限于社会-空间摩擦带来的交易成本、匹配机会与市场效率问题。现有模型常忽略空间结构、市场设计与企业自适应行为的交互影响。本文构建了一个基于代理的模型,异质企业通过嵌入空间结构的双重拍卖市场交易副产品,价格与数量由局部互动内生决定。利用强化学习,企业动态优化投标策略以最大化利润,同时考量运输成本、处置罚款及资源稀缺性。仿真结果揭示了去中心化交易收敛至稳定高效状态的经济与空间条件。反事实后悔分析显示卖方策略逼近近似纳什均衡,敏感性分析表明空间结构与市场参数协同调控循环性水平。该模型为推动企业激励与可持续目标对齐的政策干预提供依据,并展示了在空间受限市场中,自适应主体如何实现去中心化协调。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Industrial symbiosis fosters circularity by enabling firms to repurpose residual resources, yet its emergence is constrained by socio-spatial frictions that shape costs, matching opportunities, and market efficiency. Existing models often overlook the interaction between spatial structure, market design, and adaptive firm behavior, limiting our understanding of where and how symbiosis arises. We develop an agent-based model where heterogeneous firms trade byproducts through a spatially embedded double-auction market, with prices and quantities emerging endogenously from local interactions. Leveraging reinforcement learning, firms adapt their bidding strategies to maximize profit while accounting for transport costs, disposal penalties, and resource scarcity. Simulation experiments reveal the economic and spatial conditions under which decentralized exchanges converge toward stable and efficient outcomes. Counterfactual regret analysis shows that sellers' strategies approach a near Nash equilibrium, while sensitivity analysis highlights how spatial structures and market parameters jointly govern circularity. Our model provides a basis for exploring policy interventions that seek to align firm incentives with sustainability goals, and more broadly demonstrates how decentralized coordination can emerge from adaptive agents in spatially constrained markets.
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