arXiv:2512.17984cs.LGcs.AI2025-12

融合诱导与传导学习,提升未采样路段交通流量估计精度

A Hybrid Inductive-Transductive Network for Traffic Flow Imputation on Unsampled Locations

  • 用诱导式空间变换器捕捉长距离节点相似性,结合扩散图卷积建模静态上下文
  • 在三个真实数据集上,相比最优基线降低42%~50%的平均绝对误差
  • 适合交通流预测、城市智能交通系统研发人员参考

准确估算未部署传感器路段的交通流量极具挑战:环形检测器提供精确但稀疏的数据,探针车辆速度信息广泛可用但与流量相关性弱,且相邻路段常呈现显著异质性(如匝道与主路),打破传统图神经网络假设。本文提出HINT模型与诱导-传导联合训练策略,将速度视为全局传导信号,而流量则以诱导方式学习,以泛化至未见位置。HINT结合(i)基于节点特征的诱导空间变换器,实现相似性驱动的长程交互;(ii)由FiLM调控的扩散图卷积,利用丰富静态上下文(来自开放街道地图属性与交通仿真);(iii)逐段校准层纠正尺度偏差。训练采用掩码重建,周期采样节点,硬样本挖掘强化困难传感器学习,并对可见流量注入噪声以避免身份映射;图结构基于行驶距离构建。在三个真实数据集(比利时安特卫普的MOW、都灵和埃森的UTD19)上,HINT持续优于现有诱导基线。相较于KITS,HINT在MOW上分别降低约42%(基础仿真)和约50%(校准仿真)的MAE;在都灵降低约22%,在埃森降低约12%。即使无仿真数据,其在MOW与都灵仍更优,但在埃森仿真至关重要。结果表明,融合诱导流量推断、传导速度信号、交通仿真与外部地理空间信息可显著提升估计精度。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurately imputing traffic flow at unsensed locations is difficult: loop detectors provide precise but sparse measurements, speed from probe vehicles is widely available yet only weakly correlated with flow, and nearby links often exhibit strong heterophily in the scale of traffic flow (e.g., ramps vs. mainline), which breaks standard GNN assumptions. We propose HINT, a Hybrid INductive-Transductive Network, and an INDU-TRANSDUCTIVE training strategy that treats speed as a transductive, network-wide signal while learning flow inductively to generalize to unseen locations. HINT couples (i) an inductive spatial transformer that learns similarity-driven, long-range interactions from node features with (ii) a diffusion GCN conditioned by FiLM on rich static context (OSM-derived attributes and traffic simulation), and (iii) a node-wise calibration layer that corrects scale biases per segment. Training uses masked reconstruction with epoch-wise node sampling, hard-node mining to emphasize difficult sensors, and noise injection on visible flows to prevent identity mapping, while graph structure is built from driving distances. Across three real-world datasets, MOW (Antwerp, Belgium), UTD19-Torino, and UTD19-Essen, HINT consistently surpasses state-of-the-art inductive baselines. Relative to KITS, HINT reduces MAE on MOW by $\approx42$% with basic simulation and $\approx50$% with calibrated simulation; on Torino by $\approx22$%, and on Essen by $\approx12$%. Even without simulation, HINT remains superior on MOW and Torino, while simulation is crucial on Essen. These results show that combining inductive flow imputation with transductive speed, traffic simulations and external geospatial improves accuracy for the task described above.

交通流预测图神经网络数据补全城市交通

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