通过行为序列分析,发现推广类推特机器人形成四类家族并随时间演化。
Characterising Behavioural Families and Dynamics of Promotional Twitter Bots via Sequence-Based Modelling
- 用行为符号序列构建机器人'数字基因',按模式聚类出四类家族。
- 发现删除和替换是主要行为变化方式,不同家族突变热点分布不同。
- 同家族机器人更易共享突变,且对节日等事件反应有规律可循。
本文研究推广类推特机器人是否形成行为家族及其演化规律。分析2006至2021年间2,615个真实推广机器人账户的279万条推文,聚焦2009至2020年完整年度数据。每个机器人被编码为包含七种行为特征(发布动作、链接、媒体、文本重复、标签、表情符号、情感)的符号序列('数字DNA'),保持时间顺序。采用k=7的非重叠块、块频向量余弦相似度与层次聚类,识别出四类行为一致的家族:独特发布者、带链接复制者、内容倍增者、信息贡献者。各家族具有核心行为模式,但在参与策略与生命周期阶段(初期/中期/末期)存在系统差异。进一步通过多序列比对(MSA)将行为变化建模为突变,标记为插入、删除、替换、改变与不变。结果显示删除与替换占主导,插入罕见,突变谱型因家族而异,部分家族突变热点集中在早期,另一些则分散。最后验证预测能力:同家族机器人更常共享突变;相近机器人间突变传播更强;对外部触发(如圣诞节、万圣节)的响应呈现家族特异性且部分可预测。整体表明,基于序列的家族建模与突变分析可精细刻画推广机器人行为的动态适应过程。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
This paper asks whether promotional Twitter/X bots form behavioural families and whether members evolve similarly. We analyse 2,798,672 tweets from 2,615 ground-truth promotional bot accounts (2006-2021), focusing on complete years 2009 to 2020. Each bot is encoded as a sequence of symbolic blocks (``digital DNA'') from seven categorical post-level behavioural features (posting action, URL, media, text duplication, hashtags, emojis, sentiment), preserving temporal order only. Using non-overlapping blocks (k=7), cosine similarity over block-frequency vectors, and hierarchical clustering, we obtain four coherent families: Unique Tweeters, Duplicators with URLs, Content Multipliers, and Informed Contributors. Families share behavioural cores but differ systematically in engagement strategies and life-cycle dynamics (beginning/middle/end). We then model behavioural change as mutations. Within each family we align sequences via multiple sequence alignment (MSA) and label events as insertions, deletions, substitutions, alterations, and identity. This quantifies mutation rates, change-prone blocks/features, and mutation hotspots. Deletions and substitutions dominate, insertions are rare, and mutation profiles differ by family, with hotspots early for some families and dispersed for others. Finally, we test predictive value: bots within the same family share mutations more often than bots across families; closer bots share and propagate mutations more than distant ones; and responses to external triggers (e.g., Christmas, Halloween) follow family-specific, partly predictable patterns. Overall, sequence-based family modelling plus mutation analysis provides a fine-grained account of how promotional bot behaviour adapts over time.
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