arXiv:2512.18892econ.THcs.AI2025-12被引 5

用强化学习求解异质主体宏观经济模型,效率高且能处理复杂市场出清条件。

Structural Reinforcement Learning for Heterogeneous Agent Macroeconomics

  • 以价格为状态变量,用结构化强化学习直接学习均衡价格动态
  • 在几分钟内全局求解克鲁塞尔-史密斯等三类经典模型
  • 适合研究复杂宏观经济均衡的学者和量化经济学家

我们提出一种新的异质主体模型建模与求解方法,将横截面分布替换为低维价格作为状态变量,并让个体从模拟路径中直接学习均衡价格动态。为此,我们引入结构化强化学习(SRL)方法,通过模拟处理价格,同时利用个体对自身动态的结构性知识。该方法提供了一种通用且高效的全局求解方案,避免了主方程,可解决传统方法难以处理的问题,尤其是非平凡的市场出清条件。我们在克鲁塞尔-史密斯模型、带集体冲击的赫格特模型以及带有前瞻菲利普斯曲线的HANK模型中验证该方法,均在数分钟内完成全局求解。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We present a new approach to formulating and solving heterogeneous agent models with aggregate risk. We replace the cross-sectional distribution with low-dimensional prices as state variables and let agents learn equilibrium price dynamics directly from simulated paths. To do so, we introduce a structural reinforcement learning (SRL) method which treats prices via simulation while exploiting agents' structural knowledge of their own individual dynamics. Our SRL method yields a general and highly efficient global solution method for heterogeneous agent models that sidesteps the Master equation and handles problems traditional methods struggle with, in particular nontrivial market-clearing conditions. We illustrate the approach in the Krusell-Smith model, the Huggett model with aggregate shocks, and a HANK model with a forward-looking Phillips curve, all of which we solve globally within minutes.

宏观经济学异质主体强化学习均衡求解

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