arXiv:2512.22248cs.LG2025-12

用仿真数据训练神经网络,仅凭一次最高点测量就能预测火箭气动参数。

Amortized Inference for Model Rocket Aerodynamics: Learning to Estimate Physical Parameters from Simulation

  • 通过逆向物理模型,从仿真数据中学习气动参数估计方法。
  • 在8次真实飞行上实现12.3米的平均绝对误差,零真实数据微调。
  • 适合想低成本提升火箭飞行预测精度的业余爱好者。

精确预测模型火箭飞行性能需估计难以直接测量的气动参数。传统方法依赖计算流体动力学或经验关联,而数据驱动方法需大量真实飞行数据,成本高且耗时。本文提出一种基于仿真的摊销推断方法:在10,000次仿真飞行数据上训练神经网络,无需任何真实数据微调即可应用于真实飞行。该方法通过反向求解前向物理模型,仅用一次顶点高度测量及发动机与构型特征,直接预测阻力系数和推力修正因子。在8次真实飞行上的评估显示,顶点预测平均绝对误差为12.3米,验证了出色的仿真到现实迁移能力。分析发现预测存在系统性正偏差,揭示理想物理模型与真实飞行条件间的差距。相较OpenRocket基线,所提方法显著降低顶点预测误差。代码已公开,支持业余火箭社区复现与应用。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate prediction of model rocket flight performance requires estimating aerodynamic parameters that are difficult to measure directly. Traditional approaches rely on computational fluid dynamics or empirical correlations, while data-driven methods require extensive real flight data that is expensive and time-consuming to collect. We present a simulation-based amortized inference approach that trains a neural network on synthetic flight data generated from a physics simulator, then applies the learned model to real flights without any fine-tuning. Our method learns to invert the forward physics model, directly predicting drag coefficient and thrust correction factor from a single apogee measurement combined with motor and configuration features. In this proof-of-concept study, we train on 10,000 synthetic flights and evaluate on 8 real flights, achieving a mean absolute error of 12.3 m in apogee prediction - demonstrating promising sim-to-real transfer with zero real training examples. Analysis reveals a systematic positive bias in predictions, providing quantitative insight into the gap between idealized physics and real-world flight conditions. We additionally compare against OpenRocket baseline predictions, showing that our learned approach reduces apogee prediction error. Our implementation is publicly available to support reproducibility and adoption in the amateur rocketry community.

气动建模仿真迁移神经网络火箭飞行

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