arXiv:2512.23137cs.LGeess.IV2025-12

融合脑连接动态与表格数据,预测青少年未来吸烟行为

Graph Neural Networks with Transformer Fusion of Brain Connectivity Dynamics and Tabular Data for Forecasting Future Tobacco Use

  • 用图神经网络结合Transformer融合时序脑连接与临床数据
  • 在NCANDA数据集上预测未来吸烟,准确率超越现有模型
  • 适合做纵向脑影像临床预测的研究者使用

将非欧几里得的脑成像数据与欧几里得的表格数据(如临床和人口统计信息)融合,对医学影像分析构成重大挑战,尤其是在预测长期结果方面。尽管机器学习与深度学习已在横断面分类与预测任务中取得成功,但有效预测纵向影像研究中的结果仍具挑战。为此,我们提出一种具有时序感知的图神经网络与Transformer融合模型(GNN-TF)。该模型灵活整合表格数据与动态脑连接数据,利用变量的时间顺序构建统一框架。基于国家酒精与青少年神经发育联盟(NCANDA)的纵向静息态fMRI数据集,GNN-TF能够全面捕捉纵向影像数据的关键特征。与多种成熟机器学习及深度学习模型相比,GNN-TF表现更优,显著提升未来烟草使用预测的准确性。其端到端、具备时序感知的Transformer融合结构,成功整合多模态数据并利用时间动态,为聚焦临床结局预测的功能脑成像研究提供了有力分析工具。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Integrating non-Euclidean brain imaging data with Euclidean tabular data, such as clinical and demographic information, poses a substantial challenge for medical imaging analysis, particularly in forecasting future outcomes. While machine learning and deep learning techniques have been applied successfully to cross-sectional classification and prediction tasks, effectively forecasting outcomes in longitudinal imaging studies remains challenging. To address this challenge, we introduce a time-aware graph neural network model with transformer fusion (GNN-TF). This model flexibly integrates both tabular data and dynamic brain connectivity data, leveraging the temporal order of these variables within a coherent framework. By incorporating non-Euclidean and Euclidean sources of information from a longitudinal resting-state fMRI dataset from the National Consortium on Alcohol and Neurodevelopment in Adolescence (NCANDA), the GNN-TF enables a comprehensive analysis that captures critical aspects of longitudinal imaging data. Comparative analyses against a variety of established machine learning and deep learning models demonstrate that GNN-TF outperforms these state-of-the-art methods, delivering superior predictive accuracy for predicting future tobacco usage. The end-to-end, time-aware transformer fusion structure of the proposed GNN-TF model successfully integrates multiple data modalities and leverages temporal dynamics, making it a valuable analytic tool for functional brain imaging studies focused on clinical outcome prediction.

脑连接图神经网络时序预测多模态融合

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