arXiv:2512.23262cs.LG2025-12

用联邦学习去除药物不良反应数据偏差,提升预测准确率。

PFed-Signal: An ADR Prediction Model based on Federated Learning

  • 基于欧氏距离识别并剔除FAERS中的偏差数据
  • 模型在清洗后数据上达到0.887准确率、0.957 AUC
  • 适合药物安全监测与临床决策支持系统使用

基于美国食品药品管理局不良事件报告系统(FAERS)中存在偏倚的记录进行不良药物反应(ADRs)预测,可能导致在线诊断误导。传统方法依赖报告比值比(ROR)或比例报告比(PRR),但无法消除数据偏倚,影响信号预测准确性。本文提出PFed-Signal,一种基于联邦学习的ADRs信号预测模型,利用欧氏距离剔除FAERS中的偏差数据,从而提升预测精度。首先提出Pfed-Split方法,根据不良反应对原始数据集进行拆分;随后设计ADR-signal模型,包含基于联邦学习的偏差数据识别方法和基于Transformer的预测模型。前者通过欧氏距离识别偏差数据并生成清洁数据集,后者在清洁数据上训练。实验显示,清洗后数据的ROR与PRR优于传统方法;且PFed-Signal的准确率、F1分数、召回率和AUC分别为0.887、0.890、0.913和0.957,均高于基线模型。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The adverse drug reactions (ADRs) predicted based on the biased records in FAERS (U.S. Food and Drug Administration Adverse Event Reporting System) may mislead diagnosis online. Generally, such problems are solved by optimizing reporting odds ratio (ROR) or proportional reporting ratio (PRR). However, these methods that rely on statistical methods cannot eliminate the biased data, leading to inaccurate signal prediction. In this paper, we propose PFed-signal, a federated learning-based signal prediction model of ADR, which utilizes the Euclidean distance to eliminate the biased data from FAERS, thereby improving the accuracy of ADR prediction. Specifically, we first propose Pfed-Split, a method to split the original dataset into a split dataset based on ADR. Then we propose ADR-signal, an ADR prediction model, including a biased data identification method based on federated learning and an ADR prediction model based on Transformer. The former identifies the biased data according to the Euclidean distance and generates a clean dataset by deleting the biased data. The latter is an ADR prediction model based on Transformer trained on the clean data set. The results show that the ROR and PRR on the clean dataset are better than those of the traditional methods. Furthermore, the accuracy rate, F1 score, recall rate and AUC of PFed-Signal are 0.887, 0.890, 0.913 and 0.957 respectively, which are higher than the baselines.

药物安全联邦学习信号检测Transformer

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