arXiv:2512.23884physics.plasm-phcs.AI2025-12

用Transformer模型快速预测等离子体边缘长时间动态,提升融合装置设计效率。

Autoregressive long-horizon prediction of plasma edge dynamics

  • 基于SOLPS-ITER数据训练自回归Transformer,预测边缘电子温度、密度和辐射功率。
  • 训练时长增加至100步可稳定预测数百至数千步,误差积累显著减少。
  • 比原仿真快数个数量级,适合参数探索与控制研究,尤其适合实时应用需求。

精确建模散射层(SOL)和偏滤器边缘动力学对聚变装置中面向等离子体部件的设计至关重要。高保真边缘流体/中性粒子代码如SOLPS-ITER能准确捕捉SOL物理,但计算成本高,限制了广泛参数扫描和长期瞬态研究。本文提出基于Transformer的自回归代理模型,用于高效预测二维、时变等离子体边缘状态场。模型在SOLPS-ITER时空数据上训练,可预测电子温度、电子密度和辐射功率,覆盖长时程。评估不同自回归时序(1–100步)训练的模型变体在短/长时程预测任务上的表现。结果显示,更长时序训练系统性提升滚动预测稳定性,抑制误差累积,实现数百至数千步的稳定预测,并复现高辐射区移动等关键动力学特征。端到端时钟时间测量显示,该代理模型比SOLPS-ITER快数个数量级,支持快速参数探索。当代理进入训练数据未覆盖的物理区域时,预测精度下降,提示未来需数据扩充与物理约束增强。总体而言,该方法为计算密集型等离子体边缘模拟提供了一种快速且准确的替代方案,支持快速场景探索、控制研究,并推动聚变装置中实时应用进展。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate modeling of scrape-off layer (SOL) and divertor-edge dynamics is vital for designing plasma-facing components in fusion devices. High-fidelity edge fluid/neutral codes such as SOLPS-ITER capture SOL physics with high accuracy, but their computational cost limits broad parameter scans and long transient studies. We present transformer-based, autoregressive surrogates for efficient prediction of 2D, time-dependent plasma edge state fields. Trained on SOLPS-ITER spatiotemporal data, the surrogates forecast electron temperature, electron density, and radiated power over extended horizons. We evaluate model variants trained with increasing autoregressive horizons (1-100 steps) on short- and long-horizon prediction tasks. Longer-horizon training systematically improves rollout stability and mitigates error accumulation, enabling stable predictions over hundreds to thousands of steps and reproducing key dynamical features such as the motion of high-radiation regions. Measured end-to-end wall-clock times show the surrogate is orders of magnitude faster than SOLPS-ITER, enabling rapid parameter exploration. Prediction accuracy degrades when the surrogate enters physical regimes not represented in the training dataset, motivating future work on data enrichment and physics-informed constraints. Overall, this approach provides a fast, accurate surrogate for computationally intensive plasma edge simulations, supporting rapid scenario exploration, control-oriented studies, and progress toward real-time applications in fusion devices.

等离子体模拟自回归模型融合能源Transformer

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。