arXiv:2512.24747q-fin.RMcs.LG2025-12被引 1

用多目标优化平衡保险定价中的准确率与公平性,解决模型偏见难题。

Fairness-Aware Insurance Pricing: A Multi-Objective Optimization Approach

  • 采用NSGA-II算法同时优化准确率、群体公平、个体公平和反事实公平
  • XGBoost精度更高但加剧不公平,合成控制法在个体公平上表现最佳
  • 生成多种权衡方案,适合需要兼顾利润与公平的保险公司

机器学习虽提升了保险定价的预测准确性,却加剧了不同歧视度量之间的公平性权衡,使监管机构和保险公司难以在盈利与公平之间取得平衡。现有公平感知模型在GLM和XGBoost框架下仅提供部分解决方案,受限于单目标优化,无法全面应对准确率、群体公平、个体公平与反事实公平之间的冲突。为此,我们提出一种新型多目标优化框架,通过非支配排序遗传算法II(NSGA-II)联合优化四项指标,生成多样化的帕累托前沿解集,并采用特定选择机制从中提取最优保费方案。实验表明,XGBoost在准确性上优于GLM,但放大了公平性差异;正交模型在群体公平性上表现突出,合成控制法在个体与反事实公平性上领先。所提方法始终实现均衡妥协,优于单一模型方法。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Machine learning improves predictive accuracy in insurance pricing but exacerbates trade-offs between competing fairness criteria across different discrimination measures, challenging regulators and insurers to reconcile profitability with equitable outcomes. While existing fairness-aware models offer partial solutions under GLM and XGBoost estimation methods, they remain constrained by single-objective optimization, failing to holistically navigate a conflicting landscape of accuracy, group fairness, individual fairness, and counterfactual fairness. To address this, we propose a novel multi-objective optimization framework that jointly optimizes all four criteria via the Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (NSGA-II), generating a diverse Pareto front of trade-off solutions. We use a specific selection mechanism to extract a premium on this front. Our results show that XGBoost outperforms GLM in accuracy but amplifies fairness disparities; the Orthogonal model excels in group fairness, while Synthetic Control leads in individual and counterfactual fairness. Our method consistently achieves a balanced compromise, outperforming single-model approaches.

保险定价多目标优化公平性XGBoost

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。