arXiv:2512.24834cs.AI2025-12

用大模型生成语义特征,提升统计模型预测精度

GenZ: Foundational models as latent variable generators within traditional statistical models

  • 通过对比统计误差发现语义特征,联合优化特征与模型参数
  • 房价预测误差降为12%,电影推荐仅需语义描述即达4000条评分效果
  • 揭示数据特有规律,适合需要可解释性的预测任务

我们提出GenZ,一种将基础模型与统计建模结合的混合模型,通过可解释的语义特征实现融合。尽管大语言模型具备广泛领域知识,但常无法捕捉数据特定模式。本方法通过迭代对比统计建模误差所识别的项目组,而非依赖基础模型的通用理解,发现语义特征描述,并将其形式化为广义EM算法,联合优化语义特征描述符与统计模型参数。该方法调用冻结的基础模型,根据发现的特征对项目进行分类,将这些判断视为预测真实值目标的潜在二值特征的噪声观测。在房价预测(赫德尼克回归)和冷启动协同过滤电影推荐两个场景中验证:使用多模态房源数据发现的语义特征使房价预测中位相对误差降至12%,显著优于仅依赖通用知识的GPT-5基线(38%误差);对Netflix电影嵌入,仅凭语义描述即可达到0.59的余弦相似度,相当于传统协同过滤需约4000个用户评分才能达到的效果。发现的特征揭示了数据特异性模式(如建筑细节影响本地房价、系列归属影响用户偏好),超出模型通用知识范围。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We present GenZ, a hybrid model that bridges foundational models and statistical modeling through interpretable semantic features. While large language models possess broad domain knowledge, they often fail to capture dataset-specific patterns critical for prediction tasks. Our approach addresses this by discovering semantic feature descriptions through an iterative process that contrasts groups of items identified via statistical modeling errors, rather than relying solely on the foundational model's domain understanding. We formulate this as a generalized EM algorithm that jointly optimizes semantic feature descriptors and statistical model parameters. The method prompts a frozen foundational model to classify items based on discovered features, treating these judgments as noisy observations of latent binary features that predict real-valued targets through learned statistical relationships. We demonstrate the approach on two domains: house price prediction (hedonic regression) and cold-start collaborative filtering for movie recommendations. On house prices, our model achieves 12\% median relative error using discovered semantic features from multimodal listing data, substantially outperforming a GPT-5 baseline (38\% error) that relies on the LLM's general domain knowledge. For Netflix movie embeddings, our model predicts collaborative filtering representations with 0.59 cosine similarity purely from semantic descriptions -- matching the performance that would require approximately 4000 user ratings through traditional collaborative filtering. The discovered features reveal dataset-specific patterns (e.g., architectural details predicting local housing markets, franchise membership predicting user preferences) that diverge from the model's domain knowledge alone.

统计建模语义特征可解释性协同过滤

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