用扩散模型实现气溶胶光学深度的不确定性重建。
AODDiff: Probabilistic Reconstruction of Aerosol Optical Depth via Diffusion-based Bayesian Inference
- 基于扩散的贝叶斯推断,从不完整数据中学习时空先验
- 在插补和超分辨率任务中保持高空间频谱保真度
- 生成多样本实现不确定性量化,适合气象监测应用
高质量重建气溶胶光学深度(AOD)场对大气监测至关重要,但现有模型受限于训练数据不完整且缺乏不确定性量化。为此,我们提出AODDiff,一种基于扩散的贝叶斯推断概率重建框架。通过仅利用自然不完整的数据学习AOD场的时空概率分布作为生成先验,该框架可灵活适配多种重建任务而无需任务特定重训练。首先引入抗污染训练策略,从自然缺失数据中学习时空先验;随后采用解耦退火后验采样策略,更有效地整合异构观测数据作为约束以引导生成过程。在再分析数据上进行的大量实验验证了该框架的有效性与鲁棒性,尤其在降尺度与插补任务中表现出显著优势,能有效维持高空间频谱保真度。此外,作为生成模型,AODDiff可通过多次采样天然实现不确定性量化,为下游应用提供关键置信度指标。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
High-quality reconstruction of Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) fields is critical for Atmosphere monitoring, yet current models remain constrained by the scarcity of complete training data and a lack of uncertainty quantification.To address these limitations, we propose AODDiff, a probabilistic reconstruction framework based on diffusion-based Bayesian inference. By leveraging the learned spatiotemporal probability distribution of the AOD field as a generative prior, this framework can be flexibly adapted to various reconstruction tasks without requiring task-specific retraining. We first introduce a corruption-aware training strategy to learns a spatiotemporal AOD prior solely from naturally incomplete data. Subsequently, we employ a decoupled annealing posterior sampling strategy that enables the more effective and integration of heterogeneous observations as constraints to guide the generation process. We validate the proposed framework through extensive experiments on Reanalysis data. Results across downscaling and inpainting tasks confirm the efficacy and robustness of AODDiff, specifically demonstrating its advantage in maintaining high spatial spectral fidelity. Furthermore, as a generative model, AODDiff inherently enables uncertainty quantification via multiple sampling, offering critical confidence metrics for downstream applications.
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