用卫星学习的环境嵌入提升无观测流域水文预测精度
Utilizing Earth Foundation Models to Enhance the Simulation Performance of Hydrological Models with AlphaEarth Embeddings
- 用卫星图像训练的AlphaEarth嵌入表征流域环境特征
- 在未测流域预测中准确率显著优于传统地形属性
- 相似性匹配适合的参考流域可提升模型泛化能力
在缺乏流量观测的流域预测河流流量极具挑战,因流域对气候、地形、植被和土壤的响应各不相同。传统流域属性仅部分反映环境差异,难以充分描述自然系统的复杂性。本研究检验了由大规模卫星图像学习所得的AlphaEarth基础模型嵌入,是否能更有效地描述流域特征。这些嵌入总结了植被模式、地表特性及长期环境动态。结果表明,使用嵌入的模型在未参与训练的流域上预测表现更优,说明其更精准捕捉了关键物理差异。进一步研究发现,选择合适的参考流域至关重要:基于嵌入的相似性识别环境与水文行为相近的流域,可提升预测性能;而引入过多不相似流域反而降低准确率。结果表明,基于卫星信息的环境表征能增强水文预报能力,并推动适应不同地貌的模型发展。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Predicting river flow in places without streamflow records is challenging because basins respond differently to climate, terrain, vegetation, and soils. Traditional basin attributes describe some of these differences, but they cannot fully represent the complexity of natural environments. This study examines whether AlphaEarth Foundation embeddings, which are learned from large collections of satellite images rather than designed by experts, offer a more informative way to describe basin characteristics. These embeddings summarize patterns in vegetation, land surface properties, and long-term environmental dynamics. We find that models using them achieve higher accuracy when predicting flows in basins not used for training, suggesting that they capture key physical differences more effectively than traditional attributes. We further investigate how selecting appropriate donor basins influences prediction in ungauged regions. Similarity based on the embeddings helps identify basins with comparable environmental and hydrological behavior, improving performance, whereas adding many dissimilar basins can reduce accuracy. The results show that satellite-informed environmental representations can strengthen hydrological forecasting and support the development of models that adapt more easily to different landscapes.
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