通过融合时空信息提升滑坡早期预警精度
Local Intrinsic Dimensionality of Ground Motion Data for Early Detection of Catastrophic Slope Failure
- 引入速度和贝叶斯空间融合,捕捉滑坡变形动态与空间相关性
- 在真实监测数据中实现更高检测精度与更长预警时间
- 适合地质灾害预警、智慧防灾系统研发人员使用
局部内在维度(LID)在高维数据异常检测中展现出巨大潜力,尤其适用于颗粒介质中滑坡失稳的早期识别。然而,地表位移数据中的空间相关性和时间动态性仍使该任务极具挑战。为此,本文提出一种新型无监督框架——时空LID(st-LID),通过三项创新实现鲁棒的滑坡探测:(1) 动力学增强:将速度纳入LID计算,以捕捉瞬时变形速率与短期动态;(2) 贝叶斯空间融合:利用贝叶斯估计聚合邻域内LID值,嵌入空间相关性并抑制局部噪声;(3) 时间建模(t-LID):新提出的变体,用于刻画位移数据的长期动态行为,提供稳健的时间表示。三者统一后,st-LID可识别传统方法忽略的复杂多阶段失稳区域。大量实验表明,st-LID在检测精度和预警提前量上均显著优于现有先进无监督基线,为滑坡早期预警系统及精准风险干预提供坚实基础,助力提升社区韧性与应急准备能力。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Local Intrinsic Dimensionality (LID) has shown strong potential for anomaly detection in high-dimensional data, including landslide failure detection in granular media, where early and accurate identification of failure zones is crucial for effective geohazard mitigation. However, this task is still challenging due to the spatial correlations and temporal dynamics that are inherently present in surface displacement data. To address this gap, we propose a novel unsupervised framework called spatiotemporal LID (st-LID) that generalizes the LID for robust failure detection in landslide monitoring networks. Our approach introduces three key innovations: (1) Kinematic enhancement, incorporating velocity into the LID computation to capture instantaneous deformation rates and short-term temporal dynamics; (2) Bayesian spatial fusion, which aggregates LID values across spatial neighborhoods via Bayesian estimation, to embed spatial correlations and account for localized noise; and (3) Temporal modeling (t-LID), a new variant that characterizes long-term dynamics of displacement data, providing a robust temporal representation of displacement behavior. By unifying these components, st-LID identifies complex, multi-stage failure zones often overlooked by existing methods. Extensive experiments show that st-LID consistently outperforms state-of-the-art unsupervised baselines in detection precision and lead-time, providing a robust foundation for landslide early warning systems and targeted risk intervention to enhance community resilience and preparedness strategies.
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