用大模型模拟情感动态,捕捉人际互动中的模糊与变化。
LLM-MC-Affect: LLM-Based Monte Carlo Modeling of Affective Trajectories and Latent Ambiguity for Interpersonal Dynamic Insight
- 基于大模型随机解码和蒙特卡洛法,将情感建模为连续概率分布。
- 可量化情感倾向与感知模糊性,揭示对话双方的主导或滞后关系。
- 适合研究教育对话、社交行为等需要理解互动动态的场景。
情感协调是人际互动的核心属性,影响着关系意义的实时构建。尽管基于文本的情感推断已日益可行,但以往方法常将情绪视为个体发言者的确定性点估计,未能捕捉相互交流中固有的主观性、潜在模糊性和序列耦合性。本文提出LLM-MC-Affect,一种概率框架,将情感不视为静态标签,而是定义在情感空间上的连续潜在概率分布。通过利用大模型的随机解码与蒙特卡洛估计,该方法近似这些分布,生成高保真度的情感轨迹,明确量化情感倾向与感知模糊性。这些轨迹通过序列交叉相关和斜率指标,实现对人际耦合的结构化分析,识别对话双方的领先或滞后影响。为验证该方法的解释能力,我们以师生教学对话为例,其定量指标成功提炼出如有效支架等高层次互动洞察。本工作建立了一条可扩展、可部署的人际动态理解路径,为教育以外的社会与行为研究提供通用解决方案。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Emotional coordination is a core property of human interaction that shapes how relational meaning is constructed in real time. While text-based affect inference has become increasingly feasible, prior approaches often treat sentiment as a deterministic point estimate for individual speakers, failing to capture the inherent subjectivity, latent ambiguity, and sequential coupling found in mutual exchanges. We introduce LLM-MC-Affect, a probabilistic framework that characterizes emotion not as a static label, but as a continuous latent probability distribution defined over an affective space. By leveraging stochastic LLM decoding and Monte Carlo estimation, the methodology approximates these distributions to derive high-fidelity sentiment trajectories that explicitly quantify both central affective tendencies and perceptual ambiguity. These trajectories enable a structured analysis of interpersonal coupling through sequential cross-correlation and slope-based indicators, identifying leading or lagging influences between interlocutors. To validate the interpretive capacity of this approach, we utilize teacher-student instructional dialogues as a representative case study, where our quantitative indicators successfully distill high-level interaction insights such as effective scaffolding. This work establishes a scalable and deployable pathway for understanding interpersonal dynamics, offering a generalizable solution that extends beyond education to broader social and behavioral research.
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