arXiv:2601.05428math.OCcs.LG2026-01

不依赖预期收益,用动态准入和因子约束构建更稳健的组合。

Dynamic Inclusion and Bounded Multi-Factor Tilts for Robust Portfolio Construction

  • 根据流动性等市场条件动态调整可投资资产,自动调节因子暴露。
  • 通过硬性结构约束控制集中度与换手率,避免模型脆弱性。
  • 适合长期配置,对参数敏感度低,操作透明且易实施。

本文提出一种投资组合构建框架,旨在应对估计误差、非平稳性和实际交易约束下的鲁棒性问题。方法结合动态资产准入、确定性再平衡及对等权重基准的有界多因子倾斜。资产准入被形式化为状态相关的组合约束,使因子暴露能内生响应可观测市场条件(如流动性、波动率、横截面广度)。该框架不依赖预期收益或协方差估计,而是基于横截面排序与硬性结构约束,控制集中度、换手率和脆弱性。结果方法完全算法化、透明且可直接执行,为参数化优化与无约束多因子模型提供鲁棒替代方案,特别适用于长期配置中以稳定性和可操作性为核心目标的场景。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This paper proposes a portfolio construction framework designed to remain robust under estimation error, non-stationarity, and realistic trading constraints. The methodology combines dynamic asset eligibility, deterministic rebalancing, and bounded multi-factor tilts applied to an equal-weight baseline. Asset eligibility is formalized as a state-dependent constraint on portfolio construction, allowing factor exposure to adjust endogenously in response to observable market conditions such as liquidity, volatility, and cross-sectional breadth. Rather than estimating expected returns or covariances, the framework relies on cross-sectional rankings and hard structural bounds to control concentration, turnover, and fragility. The resulting approach is fully algorithmic, transparent, and directly implementable. It provides a robustness-oriented alternative to parametric optimization and unconstrained multi-factor models, particularly suited for long-horizon allocations where stability and operational feasibility are primary objectives.

投资组合鲁棒性多因子

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