用集成学习提升弱光星系红移估计精度,最高到z~4
Photometric Redshift Estimation Using Scaled Ensemble Learning
- 融合多种机器学习算法构建加权集成模型,提升预测稳定性
- 在z~4内保持低偏差与高精度,灾难性误判率低于基准要求
- 适合大规模巡天数据处理,尤其适用于LSST等未来项目
新一代望远镜系统如斯隆数字巡天、欧几里得计划和罗宾逊天文台的时空遗产巡天(LSST),推动了宇宙学模型的精细化研究。可靠估算光度红移(Pz)是其中关键环节。本研究提出一种基于集成学习的新型机器学习框架,仅依赖光学波段(grizy)数据,针对暗弱星系及高红移区域(最高至z ~ 4)进行红移预测。该框架整合梯度提升机、极端梯度提升、k近邻与人工神经网络,在袋装输入数据基础上构建加权集成结构,显著优于单一模型。使用昴宿星团超广角相机战略调查程序(HSC-SSP)公开数据验证,结果表明红移估计精度与可靠性大幅提升,且在灾难性离群点率、偏移量和均方根误差等指标上达到甚至超过LSST科学需求文档设定的基准。模型性能稳定,适用于大规模巡天数据处理。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The development of the state-of-the-art telescopic systems capable of performing expansive sky surveys such as the Sloan Digital Sky Survey, Euclid, and the Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) has significantly advanced efforts to refine cosmological models. These advances offer deeper insight into persistent challenges in astrophysics and our understanding of the Universe's evolution. A critical component of this progress is the reliable estimation of photometric redshifts (Pz). To improve the precision and efficiency of such estimations, the application of machine learning (ML) techniques to large-scale astronomical datasets has become essential. This study presents a new ensemble-based ML framework aimed at predicting Pz for faint galaxies and higher redshift ranges, relying solely on optical (grizy) photometric data. The proposed architecture integrates several learning algorithms, including gradient boosting machine, extreme gradient boosting, k-nearest neighbors, and artificial neural networks, within a scaled ensemble structure. By using bagged input data, the ensemble approach delivers improved predictive performance compared to stand-alone models. The framework demonstrates consistent accuracy in estimating redshifts, maintaining strong performance up to z ~ 4. The model is validated using publicly available data from the Hyper Suprime-Cam Strategic Survey Program by the Subaru Telescope. Our results show marked improvements in the precision and reliability of Pz estimation. Furthermore, this approach closely adheres to-and in certain instances exceeds-the benchmarks specified in the LSST Science Requirements Document. Evaluation metrics include catastrophic outlier, bias, and rms.
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