arXiv:2601.09264cs.AI2026-01被引 3

用大模型代理协作制定防疫政策,显著降低感染与死亡人数。

Coordinated Pandemic Control with Large Language Model Agents as Policymaking Assistants

  • 每个地区配一个大模型代理,协同分析疫情与跨区影响
  • 相比真实情况,感染减少63.7%,死亡减少40.1%(单州)
  • 适合公共卫生决策者、政策模拟研究者参考

有效的疫情防控需要跨行政区域及时协调的政策制定,但人类主导的响应常因碎片化和被动应对而失效。为此,本文提出基于大语言模型(LLM)多智能体的协同政策制定框架,每个地区配备一个LLM代理作为AI政策助手。代理在分析本地流行病动态的同时,通过结构化通信考虑跨区域依赖关系。结合真实世界数据、疫情演化模拟器与闭环仿真流程,该框架可联合探索反事实干预情景,并生成协调性政策决策。我们使用2020年4月至12月美国各州的新冠疫情数据、实际移动记录及政策干预记录进行验证。结果表明,相较于真实疫情发展,该方法在单州层面使累计感染减少63.7%,死亡减少40.1%;跨州汇总后分别减少39.0%和27.0%。这证明了LLM多智能体系统能实现更高效的协同疫情防控。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Effective pandemic control requires timely and coordinated policymaking across administrative regions that are intrinsically interdependent. However, human-driven responses are often fragmented and reactive, with policies formulated in isolation and adjusted only after outbreaks escalate, undermining proactive intervention and global pandemic mitigation. To address this challenge, here we propose a large language model (LLM) multi-agent policymaking framework that supports coordinated and proactive pandemic control across regions. Within our framework, each administrative region is assigned an LLM agent as an AI policymaking assistant. The agent reasons over region-specific epidemiological dynamics while communicating with other agents to account for cross-regional interdependencies. By integrating real-world data, a pandemic evolution simulator, and structured inter-agent communication, our framework enables agents to jointly explore counterfactual intervention scenarios and synthesize coordinated policy decisions through a closed-loop simulation process. We validate the proposed framework using state-level COVID-19 data from the United States between April and December 2020, together with real-world mobility records and observed policy interventions. Compared with real-world pandemic outcomes, our approach reduces cumulative infections and deaths by up to 63.7% and 40.1%, respectively, at the individual state level, and by 39.0% and 27.0%, respectively, when aggregated across states. These results demonstrate that LLM multi-agent systems can enable more effective pandemic control with coordinated policymaking...

大模型防疫决策多智能体公共卫生

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