arXiv:2601.10143cs.AIq-fin.TR2026-01

让金融数据生成随市场变化自适应,提升模型在动态市场中的表现。

History Is Not Enough: An Adaptive Dataflow System for Financial Time-Series Synthesis

  • 用可学习的调控机制动态调整数据处理流程,应对市场变化。
  • 在预测与强化学习交易任务中,风险调整后收益显著提升。
  • 适合需要持续更新数据的量化交易系统开发者使用。

在量化金融领域,由概念漂移和分布非平稳性导致的训练与实际表现差距,仍是构建可靠数据驱动系统的关键障碍。基于静态历史数据训练的模型常出现过拟合,导致在动态市场中泛化能力差。'历史不足'的理念强调需采用能随市场演变而自适应的数据生成方式,而非仅依赖过往观测。本文提出一种感知漂移的数据流系统,将基于机器学习的自适应控制整合至数据整理流程中。该系统结合参数化数据操作模块(包含个股变换、多股混叠与筛选操作)与采用梯度驱动的双层优化策略的自适应规划器-调度器,统一了数据增强、课程学习与数据工作流管理,实现可追溯的数据重放与持续数据质量监控。在预测与强化学习交易任务上的大量实验表明,该框架提升了模型鲁棒性并改善了风险调整后收益。系统为金融数据的自适应管理与学习引导的工作流自动化提供了一种可泛化的解决方案。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In quantitative finance, the gap between training and real-world performance-driven by concept drift and distributional non-stationarity-remains a critical obstacle for building reliable data-driven systems. Models trained on static historical data often overfit, resulting in poor generalization in dynamic markets. The mantra "History Is Not Enough" underscores the need for adaptive data generation that learns to evolve with the market rather than relying solely on past observations. We present a drift-aware dataflow system that integrates machine learning-based adaptive control into the data curation process. The system couples a parameterized data manipulation module comprising single-stock transformations, multi-stock mix-ups, and curation operations, with an adaptive planner-scheduler that employs gradient-based bi-level optimization to control the system. This design unifies data augmentation, curriculum learning, and data workflow management under a single differentiable framework, enabling provenance-aware replay and continuous data quality monitoring. Extensive experiments on forecasting and reinforcement learning trading tasks demonstrate that our framework enhances model robustness and improves risk-adjusted returns. The system provides a generalizable approach to adaptive data management and learning-guided workflow automation for financial data.

金融时序数据生成自适应系统

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