arXiv:2601.10747eess.SPcs.LG2026-01

用数据驱动方法优化城市交通传感器布局,显著提升数据精度。

Sensor Placement for Urban Traffic Interpolation: A Data-Driven Evaluation to Inform Policy

  • 基于空间覆盖与主动学习的布局策略,降低预测误差
  • 仅用10个传感器,柏林误差降60%、曼哈顿降70%
  • 合理安排临时传感器时间分布,性能接近永久部署

城市道路段交通流量数据对城市规划和可持续交通管理至关重要,但受制于传感器部署与维护成本,仅部分街道具备数据。其余路段需依赖已有传感器数据进行插值估算。然而当前传感器位置多由行政优先级决定,导致覆盖偏差、估计性能下降。本研究基于柏林(Strava自行车计数)和曼哈顿(出租车计数)的路段级数据,大规模实证评估了可落地的数据驱动传感器布设策略,涵盖基于网络中心性、空间覆盖、特征覆盖及主动学习的空间布局方案,并考察临时传感器的时空部署策略。结果表明,强调均匀空间覆盖并结合主动学习的策略能实现最低预测误差;仅10个传感器即可使柏林均方误差降低超过60%,曼哈顿降低70%。在时间维度上,将测量均匀分布在工作日可进一步降低柏林误差7%、曼哈顿21%。综合时空策略下,临时部署性能可接近最优永久部署。政策启示:通过数据驱动布设,城市可在保持临时与永久部署灵活性的同时大幅提升数据价值。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Data on citywide street-segment traffic volumes are essential for urban planning and sustainable mobility management. Yet such data are available only for a limited subset of streets due to the high costs of sensor deployment and maintenance. Traffic volumes on the remaining network are therefore interpolated based on existing sensor measurements. However, current sensor locations are often determined by administrative priorities rather than by data-driven optimization, leading to biased coverage and reduced estimation performance. This study provides a large-scale, real-world benchmarking of easily implementable, data-driven strategies for optimizing the placement of permanent and temporary traffic sensors, using segment-level data from Berlin (Strava bicycle counts) and Manhattan (taxi counts). It compares spatial placement strategies based on network centrality, spatial coverage, feature coverage, and active learning. In addition, the study examines temporal deployment schemes for temporary sensors. The findings highlight that spatial placement strategies that emphasize even spatial coverage and employ active learning achieve the lowest prediction errors. With only 10 sensors, they reduce the mean absolute error by over 60% in Berlin and 70% in Manhattan compared to alternatives. Temporal deployment choices further improve performance: distributing measurements evenly across weekdays reduces error by an additional 7% in Berlin and 21% in Manhattan. Together, these spatial and temporal principles allow temporary deployments to closely approximate the performance of optimally placed permanent deployments. From a policy perspective, the results indicate that cities can substantially improve data usefulness by adopting data-driven sensor placement strategies, while retaining flexibility in choosing between temporary and permanent deployments.

交通感知传感器部署数据驱动城市规划

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