arXiv:2601.10748eess.SPcs.AI2026-01被引 2

AI心电图模型可同时检测多种疾病并预测长期风险。

AnyECG: Evolved ECG Foundation Model for Holistic Health Profiling

  • 基于1330万份心电图训练基础模型,支持多病共现分析
  • 对306种疾病诊断准确率超70%(AUROC),最高达0.941
  • 适合临床筛查、慢病管理及全健康评估场景

背景:人工智能心电图(AI-ECG)已能识别多种心脏疾病,但多数模型仅聚焦单一疾病,忽略共病与未来风险预测。尽管ECGFounder扩展了疾病覆盖范围,仍缺乏全面健康评估模型。方法:我们构建了包含1330万份心电图、来自298万患者的多中心数据集,通过迁移学习对ECGFounder进行微调,开发出AnyECG这一用于整体健康评估的基础模型。在外部验证队列和10年纵向队列中评估其在当前诊断、未来风险预测和共病识别中的表现。结果:AnyECG在1172种疾病上展现出系统性预测能力,306种疾病的AUROC超过0.7。模型揭示了新疾病关联、稳健的共病模式及未来患病风险。代表性结果包括原发性甲状旁腺功能亢进(AUROC 0.941)、2型糖尿病(0.803)、克罗恩病(0.817)、淋巴细胞白血病(0.856)和慢性阻塞性肺疾病(0.773)。结论:AnyECG为AI-ECG作为系统性工具实现并发疾病检测与长期风险预测提供了有力证据。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Background: Artificial intelligence enabled electrocardiography (AI-ECG) has demonstrated the ability to detect diverse pathologies, but most existing models focus on single disease identification, neglecting comorbidities and future risk prediction. Although ECGFounder expanded cardiac disease coverage, a holistic health profiling model remains needed. Methods: We constructed a large multicenter dataset comprising 13.3 million ECGs from 2.98 million patients. Using transfer learning, ECGFounder was fine-tuned to develop AnyECG, a foundation model for holistic health profiling. Performance was evaluated using external validation cohorts and a 10-year longitudinal cohort for current diagnosis, future risk prediction, and comorbidity identification. Results: AnyECG demonstrated systemic predictive capability across 1172 conditions, achieving an AUROC greater than 0.7 for 306 diseases. The model revealed novel disease associations, robust comorbidity patterns, and future disease risks. Representative examples included high diagnostic performance for hyperparathyroidism (AUROC 0.941), type 2 diabetes (0.803), Crohn disease (0.817), lymphoid leukemia (0.856), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (0.773). Conclusion: The AnyECG foundation model provides substantial evidence that AI-ECG can serve as a systemic tool for concurrent disease detection and long-term risk prediction.

心电图分析多病共现风险预测基础模型

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