用三值逻辑趋势模型优化复杂产品创新流程
Optimisation of complex product innovation processes based on trend models with three-valued logic
- 用增、减、恒定三类趋势描述创新过程
- 构建状态转移图，涵盖所有可能发展路径
- 适合研究不确定性高的产品创新决策
本文基于一组启发式规则，研究复杂产品创新过程。每个启发式规则以简单趋势（上升、下降或恒定）表达，作为低信息量的量化指标，避免依赖数值或粗糙集。趋势模型的解被定义为一组可能状态及其间的转移路径，以转移图表示。因此，系统未来或过去的所有可能行为均可通过该图中的路径进行刻画。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
This paper investigates complex product-innovation processes using models grounded in a set of heuristics. Each heuristic is expressed through simple trends -- increasing, decreasing, or constant -- which serve as minimally information-intensive quantifiers, avoiding reliance on numerical values or rough sets. A solution to a trend model is defined as a set of scenarios with possible transitions between them, represented by a transition graph. Any possible future or past behaviour of the system under study can thus be depicted by a path within this graph.
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