用智能无人机动态追踪火线,实时优化探测位置。
Adaptive Monitoring of Stochastic Fire Front Processes via Information-seeking Predictive Control
- 基于贝叶斯递归估计建模火势非线性演化
- 通过信息探索策略实现最优路径规划,收敛至最优控制
- 适合灾害监测与自主系统决策研究者
本文研究如何利用移动传感器(如无人机)自适应监控野火前沿,其轨迹决定数据采集位置,影响火势蔓延估计精度。由于野火演化的随机性,需无缝融合感知、估计与控制,现有方法多依赖线性高斯假设或近似启发式策略,缺乏性能保证。为此,本文将火线监测问题建模为集成感知、估计与控制的随机最优控制问题,推导出一类随机非线性椭圆生长火势模型下的最优递归贝叶斯估计器。进一步将所得非线性随机控制问题转化为有限时域马尔可夫决策过程,并设计一种基于置信下界的自适应搜索算法,实现信息探索型预测控制律,具有渐近收敛到最优策略的性质。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
We consider the problem of adaptively monitoring a wildfire front using a mobile agent (e.g., a drone), whose trajectory determines where sensor data is collected and thus influences the accuracy of fire propagation estimation. This is a challenging problem, as the stochastic nature of wildfire evolution requires the seamless integration of sensing, estimation, and control, often treated separately in existing methods. State-of-the-art methods either impose linear-Gaussian assumptions to establish optimality or rely on approximations and heuristics, often without providing explicit performance guarantees. To address these limitations, we formulate the fire front monitoring task as a stochastic optimal control problem that integrates sensing, estimation, and control. We derive an optimal recursive Bayesian estimator for a class of stochastic nonlinear elliptical-growth fire front models. Subsequently, we transform the resulting nonlinear stochastic control problem into a finite-horizon Markov decision process and design an information-seeking predictive control law obtained via a lower confidence bound-based adaptive search algorithm with asymptotic convergence to the optimal policy.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。