用概率模型优化传感器路径,提升实验设计效率。
A Probabilistic Approach to Trajectory-Based Optimal Experimental Design
- 将路径规划转为参数化马尔可夫策略的随机优化。
- 在二维对流扩散问题中,多传感器下达D/A/E准则最优。
- 适用于非线性逆问题,无需解析目标函数表达式。
本文提出一种新的概率化实验路径设计方法。该方法在静态导航网格上定义离散路径优化问题,将轨迹建模为由参数化马尔可夫策略控制的随机变量。原离散优化问题被转化为对策略参数的等价随机优化问题,从而得到一个最优概率模型,可采样出最优离散路径的估计。该方法能探索效用函数的尾部分布,将设计的效用函数视为黑箱,适用于线性和非线性逆问题及更广泛的实验设计场景。通过一个典型的基于模型的最优实验设计参数识别问题进行数值验证:二维时变对流扩散问题,初始条件为待估计目标。实验采用粗/细导航网格,单个移动传感器或七组协同传感器,并在D-、A-、E-最优性准则下评估性能。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
We present a novel probabilistic approach for optimal experimental path design. In this approach a discrete path optimization problem is defined on a static navigation mesh, and trajectories are modeled as random variables governed by a parametric Markov policy. The discrete path optimization problem is then replaced with an equivalent stochastic optimization problem over the policy parameters, resulting in an optimal probability model that samples estimates of the optimal discrete path. This approach enables exploration of the utility function's distribution tail and treats the utility function of the design as a black box, making it applicable to linear and nonlinear inverse problems and beyond experimental design. Numerical verification and analysis are carried out by using a parameter identification problem widely used in model-based optimal experimental design, namely a two-dimensional time-dependent advection diffusion problem in which the initial condition is the inference target. Experiments use both coarse and fine navigation meshes, with either a single moving sensor or a group of seven coordinated sensors, and the proposed approach is evaluated under D-, A-, and E-optimality criteria.
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