AI/ML助力暗能量研究,提升天文数据处理的精度与可靠性
Opportunities in AI/ML for the Rubin LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration
- 融合贝叶斯推理与物理约束的AI方法提升模型可信度
- 实现跨任务通用的不确定性量化与稳健性,支持多探针联合分析
- 适合从事宇宙学、机器学习交叉研究的科研人员参考
薇拉·C·鲁宾天文台的时空遗产调查(LSST)将产生前所未有的异构天文数据(图像、星表和警报),对传统分析流程构成挑战。暗能量科学合作组织(DESC)旨在从这些数据中获得对暗能量和暗物质的强约束,需依赖统计强大、可扩展且操作可靠的分析方法。人工智能与机器学习(AI/ML)已嵌入DESC科学工作流,涵盖光谱红移估计、瞬变源分类、弱引力透镜推断及宇宙学模拟等环节。然而,其在精密宇宙学中的应用依赖于可信的不确定性量化、对协变量偏移和模型误设的鲁棒性,以及在科学流程中的可复现集成。本文综述了当前DESC主要宇宙学探针与跨领域分析中的AI/ML现状,揭示核心方法与基础挑战在不同科学场景中反复出现。鉴于解决这些共性问题可同时惠及多个探针,我们提出关键研究方向,包括大规模贝叶斯推断、物理信息驱动方法、验证框架以及用于发现的主动学习。展望新兴技术,探讨了最新基础模型与大语言模型驱动的智能体系统重塑工作流的潜力,前提是其部署需配以严格评估与治理。最后,讨论了成功部署新方法所需的关键软件、计算、数据基础设施及人力资本需求,并分析了与外部机构协同带来的风险与机遇。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The Vera C. Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will produce unprecedented volumes of heterogeneous astronomical data (images, catalogs, and alerts) that challenge traditional analysis pipelines. The LSST Dark Energy Science Collaboration (DESC) aims to derive robust constraints on dark energy and dark matter from these data, requiring methods that are statistically powerful, scalable, and operationally reliable. Artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) are already embedded across DESC science workflows, from photometric redshifts and transient classification to weak lensing inference and cosmological simulations. Yet their utility for precision cosmology hinges on trustworthy uncertainty quantification, robustness to covariate shift and model misspecification, and reproducible integration within scientific pipelines. This white paper surveys the current landscape of AI/ML across DESC's primary cosmological probes and cross-cutting analyses, revealing that the same core methodologies and fundamental challenges recur across disparate science cases. Since progress on these cross-cutting challenges would benefit multiple probes simultaneously, we identify key methodological research priorities, including Bayesian inference at scale, physics-informed methods, validation frameworks, and active learning for discovery. With an eye on emerging techniques, we also explore the potential of the latest foundation model methodologies and LLM-driven agentic AI systems to reshape DESC workflows, provided their deployment is coupled with rigorous evaluation and governance. Finally, we discuss critical software, computing, data infrastructure, and human capital requirements for the successful deployment of these new methodologies, and consider associated risks and opportunities for broader coordination with external actors.
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