人类用即时简化模型高效模拟世界,提升决策能力。
"Just in Time" World Modeling Supports Human Planning and Reasoning
- 通过视觉搜索与模拟交替进行,动态选择需编码的对象。
- 仅处理少量对象即可做出高价值预测,效率显著提升。
- 适合研究认知建模、人机协作与高效推理系统者参考。
心理模拟被认为是人类推理、规划和预测的关键机制,但在复杂环境中,模拟的计算需求超出了人类的实际能力。现有理论认为,人们通过使用简化的环境表征来抽象无关细节,但如何高效确定这些简化仍不明确。本文提出一种“即时”(Just-in-Time)模拟推理框架,展示如何在线构建此类表征,且计算开销极小。该模型采用模拟、视觉搜索与表征修改的紧密交织:当前模拟指导搜索方向,视觉搜索标记应被编码以供后续模拟的对象。尽管仅编码少量对象,模型仍能做出高价值预测。在网格世界规划任务和物理推理任务中,该模型在多种行为指标上均表现出强于替代模型的性能。结果为人类如何构建精简表征以支持高效心理模拟提供了具体的算法解释。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Probabilistic mental simulation is thought to play a key role in human reasoning, planning, and prediction, yet the demands of simulation in complex environments exceed realistic human capacity limits. A theory with growing evidence is that people simulate using simplified representations of the environment that abstract away from irrelevant details, but it is unclear how people determine these simplifications efficiently. Here, we present a "Just-in-Time" framework for simulation-based reasoning that demonstrates how such representations can be constructed online with minimal added computation. The model uses a tight interleaving of simulation, visual search, and representation modification, with the current simulation guiding where to look and visual search flagging objects that should be encoded for subsequent simulation. Despite only ever encoding a small subset of objects, the model makes high-utility predictions. We find strong empirical support for this account over alternative models in a grid-world planning task and a physical reasoning task across a range of behavioral measures. Together, these results offer a concrete algorithmic account of how people construct reduced representations to support efficient mental simulation.
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