提出一种更准确的自动驾驶风险评估方法,兼顾不确定性与碰撞严重度。
Risk Estimation for Automated Driving
- 融合碰撞概率与碰撞严重度,量化自动驾驶中的风险
- 可为不同碰撞类型(如正面、侧碰)设置独立严重度函数
- 计算高效,适合实时路径规划,代码已开源
安全性是自动驾驶的核心要求,风险评估在运动规划与安全验证中至关重要。自动驾驶中的风险包含两方面:一是对其他交通参与者状态估计的不确定性;二是发生碰撞事件的严重程度。不确定性会导致近碰撞场景下风险非零,从而自然引导车辆避让并保持基于不确定性和碰撞严重度的安全距离。现有方法依赖经验建模或严重近似,缺乏通用性与准确性。本文结合最新的碰撞概率估算技术与碰撞严重度概念,提出一种通用且精确的风险评估方法。该方法可为不同碰撞构型(如前撞、侧撞)分配独立的严重度函数,并展示其计算效率高,适用于实时运动规划。文中还提供了基于高斯不确定性示例实现的代码。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Safety is a central requirement for automated vehicles. As such, the assessment of risk in automated driving is key in supporting both motion planning technologies and safety evaluation. In automated driving, risk is characterized by two aspects. The first aspect is the uncertainty on the state estimates of other road participants by an automated vehicle. The second aspect is the severity of a collision event with said traffic participants. Here, the uncertainty aspect typically causes the risk to be non-zero for near-collision events. This makes risk particularly useful for automated vehicle motion planning. Namely, constraining or minimizing risk naturally navigates the automated vehicle around traffic participants while keeping a safety distance based on the level of uncertainty and the potential severity of the impending collision. Existing approaches to calculate the risk either resort to empirical modeling or severe approximations, and, hence, lack generalizability and accuracy. In this paper, we combine recent advances in collision probability estimation with the concept of collision severity to develop a general method for accurate risk estimation. The proposed method allows us to assign individual severity functions for different collision constellations, such as, e.g., frontal or side collisions. Furthermore, we show that the proposed approach is computationally efficient, which is beneficial, e.g., in real-time motion planning applications. The programming code for an exemplary implementation of Gaussian uncertainties is also provided.
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