arXiv:2601.21504cs.RO2026-01被引 1

解决遮挡交通体预测冗余问题,提升自动驾驶决策精度。

Don't double it: Efficient Agent Prediction in Occlusions

  • 引入匈牙利匹配机制,确保预测与真实目标一一对应
  • 轨迹预测分离朝向与运动,提升路径准确性和可解释性
  • 用马修斯相关系数评估稀疏场景,适合小样本遮挡任务

遮挡的交通参与者对自动驾驶车辆构成重大挑战,因隐藏的行人或车辆可能突然出现,但该问题仍研究不足。现有基于学习的方法虽能推断隐藏代理的存在,但常产生冗余的占据预测,同一代理被多次识别,增加下游规划复杂度和计算负担。为此,我们提出MatchInformer,一种基于Transformer的新型方法,建立在SceneInformer架构之上。通过在训练中引入匈牙利匹配算法(来自目标检测的先进对象匹配技术),强制预测与真实标注之间的一一对应关系,减少冗余。进一步通过解耦代理的朝向与运动,优化轨迹预测,提高准确性和可解释性。为应对类别不平衡,我们采用马修斯相关系数(MCC)评估占据预测,该指标综合考虑混淆矩阵所有元素,在稀疏或不平衡场景下依然稳健。在Waymo Open Motion Dataset上的实验表明,该方法显著改善了对遮挡区域的推理能力,并生成比先前方法更精确的轨迹预测。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Occluded traffic agents pose a significant challenge for autonomous vehicles, as hidden pedestrians or vehicles can appear unexpectedly, yet this problem remains understudied. Existing learning-based methods, while capable of inferring the presence of hidden agents, often produce redundant occupancy predictions where a single agent is identified multiple times. This issue complicates downstream planning and increases computational load. To address this, we introduce MatchInformer, a novel transformer-based approach that builds on the state-of-the-art SceneInformer architecture. Our method improves upon prior work by integrating Hungarian Matching, a state-of-the-art object matching algorithm from object detection, into the training process to enforce a one-to-one correspondence between predictions and ground truth, thereby reducing redundancy. We further refine trajectory forecasts by decoupling an agent's heading from its motion, a strategy that improves the accuracy and interpretability of predicted paths. To better handle class imbalances, we propose using the Matthews Correlation Coefficient (MCC) to evaluate occupancy predictions. By considering all entries in the confusion matrix, MCC provides a robust measure even in sparse or imbalanced scenarios. Experiments on the Waymo Open Motion Dataset demonstrate that our approach improves reasoning about occluded regions and produces more accurate trajectory forecasts than prior methods.

自动驾驶遮挡预测轨迹估计注意力机制

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