arXiv:2601.22427cs.LGcs.AI2026-01

用反事实增强对比学习,提升社交网络动态链接预测能力

CoDCL: Counterfactual-Inspired Augmentation Contrastive Learning for Temporal Link Prediction in Social Networks

  • 基于反事实数据增强与对比学习融合,捕捉动态演化机制
  • 在多个真实数据集上超越现有最优方法,显著提升预测精度
  • 可即插即用,适配各类时序图模型,无需修改架构

时序链接预测对快速发展的社交网络至关重要。现有方法常忽略驱动链接形成背后的因果机制,导致算法难以适应持续演化的复杂结构。为使预测模型适应复杂时序环境,需具备对新兴结构变化的鲁棒性。本文提出动态网络学习框架CoDCL,结合反事实启发式数据增强与对比学习以弥补此缺陷。进一步设计全面策略生成高质量反事实数据,通过动态处理设计与高效邻域探索量化交互模式的时序变化。关键的是,CoDCL被设计为可即插即用的通用模块,能无缝集成到多种现有时序图模型中,无需架构修改。在多个真实数据集上的大量实验表明,CoDCL显著优于当前最优基线,在时序链接预测任务中展现出强大性能,验证了将反事实增强融入动态表征学习的有效性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Temporal link prediction is crucial for rapidly growing social networks. Existing methods often overlook the underlying causal mechanisms that drive link formation, making it difficult for algorithms to adapt to complex structures that continuously evolve over time. To enable prediction models to adapt to complex temporal environments, they need to be robust to emerging structural changes. We propose a dynamic network learning framework CoDCL, which combines counterfactual-inspired augmentation with contrastive learning to address this deficiency. Furthermore, we devise a comprehensive strategy to generate high-quality counterfactual data, combining a dynamic treatments design with efficient structural neighborhood exploration to quantify the temporal changes in interaction patterns. Crucially, the entire CoDCL is designed as a plug-and-play universal module that can be seamlessly integrated into various existing temporal graph models without requiring architectural modifications. Extensive experiments conducted on multiple real-world datasets demonstrate that CoDCL significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in temporal link prediction, highlighting the effectiveness of integrating counterfactual-inspired data augmentation into dynamic representation learning.

时序图反事实链接预测对比学习

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