arXiv:2601.22631cs.LGcs.AI2026-01

用少量数据实现高精度设备剩余寿命预测,突破传统依赖大量同类数据的限制。

PEFT-MuTS: A Multivariate Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning Framework for Remaining Useful Life Prediction based on Cross-domain Time Series Representation Model

  • 基于跨领域时间序列预训练模型,通过参数高效微调实现少样本预测
  • 仅用目标设备1%以下数据即达高精度,显著降低对历史数据依赖
  • 适合工业场景中缺乏充足故障数据的设备健康监测应用

数据驱动的剩余使用寿命(RUL)预测长期受限于退化数据的获取。主流方法如域适应和元学习仍需大量与目标设备相同或相似的历史退化数据,在实际应用中存在显著局限。本文提出PEFT-MuTS,一种基于跨域预训练时间序列表示模型的多变量参数高效微调框架,用于少样本RUL预测。不同于普遍认为的RUL知识转移仅限于相似设备的观点,我们证明通过大规模跨域时间序列数据预训练可获得显著收益。设计独立特征调优网络与基于元变量的低秩多变量融合机制,使预训练的单变量时序表示骨干模型能充分挖掘退化数据中的多变量关系。此外引入零初始化回归器,稳定少样本条件下的微调过程。在航空发动机和工业轴承数据集上的实验表明,本方法在使用少于1%的目标设备样本时仍能实现有效的RUL预测,显著优于传统监督及少样本方法,同时大幅减少达到高精度所需的样本量。代码已开源。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The application of data-driven remaining useful life (RUL) prediction has long been constrained by the availability of large amount of degradation data. Mainstream solutions such as domain adaptation and meta-learning still rely on large amounts of historical degradation data from equipment that is identical or similar to the target, which imposes significant limitations in practical applications. This study investigates PEFT-MuTS, a Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning framework for few-shot RUL prediction, built on cross-domain pre-trained time-series representation models. Contrary to the widely held view that knowledge transfer in RUL prediction can only occur within similar devices, we demonstrate that substantial benefits can be achieved through pre-training process with large-scale cross-domain time series datasets. A independent feature tuning network and a meta-variable-based low rank multivariate fusion mechanism are developed to enable the pre-trained univariate time-series representation backbone model to fully exploit the multivariate relationships in degradation data for downstream RUL prediction task. Additionally, we introduce a zero-initialized regressor that stabilizes the fine-tuning process under few-shot conditions. Experiments on aero-engine and industrial bearing datasets demonstrate that our method can achieve effective RUL prediction even when less than 1\% of samples of target equipment are used. Meanwhile, it substantially outperforms conventional supervised and few-shot approaches while markedly reducing the data required to achieve high predictive accuracy. Our code is available at https://github.com/fuen1590/PEFT-MuTS.

RUL预测少样本学习参数高效微调时序建模

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