arXiv:2601.23026cs.LG2026-01被引 1

区分异常是测量错误还是机制改变,提升故障定位准确性。

Root Cause Analysis of Measurement and Mechanistic Anomalies

  • 构建因果模型,将异常视为潜在变量的隐式干预。
  • 在合成与真实数据上实现最优的根因定位与类型分类性能。
  • 适合需要精准区分异常来源的工业检测与系统诊断场景。

异常的根因分析旨在确定样本偏离正常流程的原因。现有方法多关注哪些特征导致异常,却忽略了异常源于两类根本不同的过程:测量误差(样本生成正常但记录值出错)与机制偏移(生成样本的因果过程发生改变)。测量误差通常可安全修正,而机制异常则需谨慎处理。本文正式定义了一个因果模型,显式捕捉这两种异常类型,将离群值视为对潜在(真实)和观测(测量)变量的隐式干预,并明确了区分二者可行的条件。基于此模型,我们提出一种高效的局部根因定位与异常类型判别推断方法。在合成数据与真实世界数据上的实验表明,该方法在根因定位和异常类型分类上均达到当前最优且高度鲁棒的表现。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Root cause analysis of anomalies aims to identify how and why a sample deviates from the normal process. Existing methods primarily focus on telling which features are responsible, ignoring that anomalies can arise through two fundamentally different processes: measurement errors, where the sample is generated normally but one or more values is recorded incorrectly, and mechanism shifts, where the causal process that generated the sample was changed. While measurement errors can often be safely corrected, mechanistic anomalies require careful consideration. In this paper, we formally define a causal model that explicitly captures both types by treating outliers as latent interventions on latent ("true") and observed ("measured") variables and show under which conditions the distinction is possible. Based on this model, we develop an efficient inference procedure for localizing root causes and distinguishing anomaly types. Experiments on synthetic and real-world data show that our method provides state-of-the-art and highly robust performance in both root cause localization and classification of anomaly types.

异常检测因果推断根因分析

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