用生成模型融合高低精度数据,用少量高精度模拟实现高准确预测。
Generative AI-enhanced Probabilistic Multi-Fidelity Surrogate Modeling Via Transfer Learning
- 用生成模型先学低精度数据,再用少量高精度数据微调修正误差。
- 在轨枕-道床和钢筋混凝土板测试中,仅用少量高精度模拟即达高精度。
- 支持不确定性量化,适合工程仿真中数据稀缺场景。
机器学习代理模型的性能高度依赖数据质量和数量。高保真(HF)数据通常稀缺且计算成本高昂,而低保真(LF)数据虽丰富但精度较低。为解决数据稀缺问题,本文提出一种结合迁移学习与生成建模的概率多保真代理模型框架。采用归一化流(NF)作为核心,分两阶段训练:(i) 在大规模LF数据集上预训练以学习概率前向模型;(ii) 在少量HF数据上微调,通过知识迁移校正LF-HF差异。为突破标准双射型NF的维度限制,引入了可压缩维度的满射层与标准耦合块相结合的结构,在实现降维的同时保持精确似然训练能力。所得代理模型可快速进行带不确定性的概率预测,显著优于仅使用低保真的基线方法,且所需高保真评估次数更少。在轨枕-道床和钢筋混凝土板两个基准系统上验证:结合大量粗网格(LF)模拟与有限细网格(HF)模拟,所提模型实现了接近高保真精度的概率预测,展示了面向复杂工程系统高效数据驱动代理建模的可行路径。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The performance of machine learning surrogates is critically dependent on data quality and quantity. This presents a major challenge, as high-fidelity (HF) data is often scarce and computationally expensive to acquire, while low-fidelity (LF) data is abundant but less accurate. To address this data-scarcity problem, we propose a probabilistic multi-fidelity surrogate modeling framework that integrates transfer learning with generative modeling. We employ a normalizing flow (NF) generative model as the backbone, which is trained in two phases: (i) the NF is first pretrained on a large LF dataset to learn a probabilistic forward model; (ii) the pretrained model is then fine-tuned on a small HF dataset, allowing it to correct for LF--HF discrepancies via knowledge transfer. To relax the dimension-preserving constraint of standard bijective NFs, we integrate surjective (dimension-reducing) layers with standard coupling blocks. This architecture enables learned dimension reduction while preserving the ability to train with exact likelihoods. The resulting surrogate provides fast probabilistic predictions with quantified uncertainty and significantly outperforms LF-only baselines while using fewer HF evaluations. We validate the approach for two benchmark systems: a rail-sleeper-ballast and a reinforced concrete slab. For both applications, we combine many coarse-mesh (LF) simulations with a limited set of fine-mesh (HF) simulations. The proposed model achieves probabilistic predictions with HF accuracy, demonstrating a practical path toward data-efficient, generative AI-driven surrogates for complex engineering systems.
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