动态调整股票关系图,提升金融预测收益与稳定性。
GAPNet: Plug-in Jointly Learning Task-Specific Graph for Dynamic Stock Relation
- 通过时空感知层动态学习股票间关系图
- 在两个数据集上实现最高年化收益0.63,夏普比率达2.20
- 可插件式适配多种图神经网络,适合量化交易研究者
互联网的兴起改变了金融关系格局,实时新闻、社交讨论和财务披露显著影响金融预测。现有方法依赖预先定义的图结构来捕捉股票间关系,但网络信号噪声大、异步性强且难以获取,导致预设图与下游任务不匹配,泛化能力差。为此,我们提出GAPNet——一种图适应插件网络,可端到端联合学习任务特定的拓扑结构与表征。GAPNet附加于现有的成对图或超图骨干模型,通过两个互补组件动态调整边结构:空间感知层捕捉资产间的短期同向波动,时间感知层在分布变化下维持长期依赖。在两个真实股票数据集上,GAPNet consistently 提升了盈利能力和稳定性,相较当前最优模型,分别实现0.47(RT-GCN)和0.63(CI-STHPAN)的年化累计收益,峰值夏普比率分别为2.20和2.12。GAPNet的即插即用设计使其广泛适用于多种基于GNN的架构。结果表明,联合学习图结构与表征对任务特定的关系建模至关重要。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The advent of the web has led to a paradigm shift in the financial relations, with the real-time dissemination of news, social discourse, and financial filings contributing significantly to the reshaping of financial forecasting. The existing methods rely on establishing relations a priori, i.e. predefining graphs to capture inter-stock relationships. However, the stock-related web signals are characterised by high levels of noise, asynchrony, and challenging to obtain, resulting in poor generalisability and non-alignment between the predefined graphs and the downstream tasks. To address this, we propose GAPNet, a Graph Adaptation Plug-in Network that jointly learns task-specific topology and representations in an end-to-end manner. GAPNet attaches to existing pairwise graph or hypergraph backbone models, enabling the dynamic adaptation and rewiring of edge topologies via two complementary components: a Spatial Perception Layer that captures short-term co-movements across assets, and a Temporal Perception Layer that maintains long-term dependency under distribution shift. Across two real-world stock datasets, GAPNet has been shown to consistently enhance the profitability and stability in comparision to the state-of-the-art models, yielding annualised cumulative returns of up to 0.47 for RT-GCN and 0.63 for CI-STHPAN, with peak Sharpe Ratio of 2.20 and 2.12 respectively. The plug-and-play design of GAPNet ensures its broad applicability to diverse GNN-based architectures. Our results underscore that jointly learning graph structures and representations is essential for task-specific relational modeling.
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