arXiv:2602.01149cond-mat.mtrl-scics.LG2026-02

提出可靠机器学习框架,精准预测高效热电材料性能。

Robust Machine Learning Framework for Reliable Discovery of High-Performance Half-Heusler Thermoelectrics

  • 用PCA严格分组数据,确保训练与测试集无偏代表全化学空间。
  • 发现A位掺杂浓度和蒸发焓是影响热电优值的关键因素。
  • 筛选出数百万种稳定组合,发掘新型高性能候选材料。

机器学习可加速热电材料发现以应对环境危机,但模型常因实验泛化能力差而受限。本研究针对半赫斯勒(hH)结构原型,构建稳健的热电优值(zT)预测流程。首先采用基于主成分分析(PCA)的严格数据划分方法,确保训练集与测试集无偏且覆盖完整化学空间;随后结合贝叶斯超参数优化与k-best特征筛选,在随机森林、XGBoost和神经网络三种架构中实现性能提升;并引入SISSO符号回归获取物理洞见。通过SHAP与SISSO分析,识别出A位掺杂浓度(xA')和A位蒸发焓(HVA)为主要影响因素,除温度(T)外。最后,在约6.6×10⁸种可能组合中进行高通量筛选,经稳定性约束过滤后,获得多个新型高zT候选材料。本工作突破传统仅追求测试均方根误差(RMSE)或决定系数(R²)的范式,转而强调测试集作为模型泛化能力真实代理,并强化现有机器学习流程中常被忽视的数据处理模块,推动下一代热电材料的數據驅動設計。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Machine learning (ML) can facilitate efficient thermoelectric (TE) material discovery essential to address the environmental crisis. However, ML models often suffer from poor experimental generalizability despite high metrics. This study presents a robust workflow, applied to the half-Heusler (hH) structural prototype, for figure of merit (zT) prediction, to improve the generalizability of ML models. To resolve challenges in dataset handling and feature filtering, we first introduce a rigorous PCA-based splitting method that ensures training and test sets are unbiased and representative of the full chemical space. We then integrate Bayesian hyperparameter optimization with k-best feature filtering across three architectures-Random Forest, XGBoost, and Neural Networks - while employing SISSO symbolic regression for physical insight and comparison. Using SHAP and SISSO analysis, we identify A-site dopant concentration (xA'), and A-site Heat of Vaporization (HVA) as the primary drivers of zT besides Temperature (T). Finally, a high-throughput screening of approximately 6.6x10^8 potential compositions, filtered by stability constraints, yielded several novel high-zT candidates. Breaking from the traditional focus of improving test RMSE/R^2 values of the models, this work shifts the attention on establishing the test set a true proxy for model generalizability and strengthening the often neglected modules of the existing ML workflows for the data-driven design of next-generation thermoelectric materials.

热电材料机器学习高通量筛选特征分析

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