arXiv:2602.01483cs.LGcs.AI2026-02

用专家反馈加速因果图发现,高效缩小可能结构范围。

Causal Preference Elicitation

  • 基于贝叶斯框架主动询问局部边关系,引导专家判断
  • 在有限提问次数下,更快收敛且更准识别因果方向
  • 适合需专家参与的因果推断任务,如生物通路研究

我们提出因果偏好获取,一种专家参与的贝叶斯因果发现框架,通过主动查询局部边的存在与方向,集中后验分布于有向无环图(DAG)上。针对任意黑箱观测后验,我们以三类可能性建模噪声专家判断,涵盖边存在性与方向。后验推断采用灵活的粒子近似,查询选择基于对专家分类响应的期望信息增益准则。在合成图、蛋白质信号数据及人类基因扰动基准测试中,该方法在严格查询预算下实现更快的后验集中,并显著提升有向效应的恢复准确率。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

We propose causal preference elicitation, a Bayesian framework for expert-in-the-loop causal discovery that actively queries local edge relations to concentrate a posterior over directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). From any black-box observational posterior, we model noisy expert judgments with a three-way likelihood over edge existence and direction. Posterior inference uses a flexible particle approximation, and queries are selected by an efficient expected information gain criterion on the expert's categorical response. Experiments on synthetic graphs, protein signaling data, and a human gene perturbation benchmark show faster posterior concentration and improved recovery of directed effects under tight query budgets.

因果推断贝叶斯方法专家交互

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