为环境监测机器人设计路径,确保测量不确定性低于设定阈值。
Informative Path Planning with Guaranteed Estimation Uncertainty
- 用高斯过程建模空间相关性,生成可降低不确定性的覆盖图。
- 在复杂地形中规划最短路径,使整体估计误差不超过用户指定上限。
- 适用于水下/水面机器人实地监测,比基线方法更省时省力。
环境监测机器人常需在资源受限条件下估计数据场(如盐度、温度、海底地形)。经典蛇形扫描提供几何覆盖保证,但会重复采样可预测区域而浪费资源。相比之下,信息路径规划(IPP)利用空间相关性减少冗余采样,但通常无法保证估计质量。本文提出在复杂环境中实现带保证的估计算法:计算最短路径,使其测量结果能确保高斯过程(GP)后验方差——一个内在不确定性度量,且下界为均方预测误差——在整个监测区域内不超过用户设定阈值。我们提出三阶段方法:(i) 利用先验信息学习GP模型;(ii) 将GP核函数转换为二值覆盖图,标识出可将不确定性降至目标阈值以下的位置;(iii) 规划满足全局不确定性约束的近最短路线。该方法采用非平稳核以捕捉异质现象的空间变化相关性,并支持含障碍物的非凸环境。我们为感知点选择及联合选点与路径规划问题提供了近似最优的保证。真实地形数据实验表明,本方法以更少采样点和更短行程达成不确定性目标。此外,基于自主水面与水下车辆的实地实验验证了方法的实际可行性。代码已公开:www.sgp-tools.com
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Environmental monitoring robots often need to estimate data fields (e.g., salinity, temperature, bathymetry) under tight resource constraints. Classical boustrophedon lawnmower surveys provide geometric coverage guarantees but can waste effort by oversampling predictable regions. In contrast, informative path planning (IPP) methods leverage spatial correlations to reduce oversampling, yet typically offer no guarantees on estimation quality. This paper bridges these approaches by addressing IPP with guaranteed estimation uncertainty in complex environments: computing the shortest path whose measurements ensure that the Gaussian process (GP) posterior variance -- an intrinsic uncertainty measure that lower-bounds the mean-squared prediction error under the GP model -- is upper bounded by a user-specified threshold over the monitoring region. We propose a three-stage approach for efficient environmental monitoring: (i) learning a GP model from prior information; (ii) transforming the GP kernel into binary coverage maps that identify locations where uncertainty can be reduced below a target threshold; and (iii) planning a near-shortest route to satisfy the global uncertainty constraint. Our approach incorporates non-stationary kernels to capture spatially varying correlations in heterogeneous phenomena and accommodates non-convex environments with obstacles. We provide near-optimal approximation guarantees for both sensing-location selection and the joint selection-and-routing problem under a travel budget. Experiments on real-world topographic data demonstrate that our planners achieve uncertainty targets with fewer sensing locations and shorter travel distances than representative baselines. Furthermore, field experiments with autonomous surface and underwater vehicles validate the real-world feasibility of the approach. Our code is available at: www.sgp-tools.com
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