用物理引导的神经符号融合,让大模型群体模拟更准更省。
PhysicsAgentABM: Physics-Guided Generative Agent-Based Modeling
- 将代理分群建模,用符号与神经网络联合推演行为演化
- 在健康、金融等领域事件时间预测误差降低30%以上
- 适合需要高可信度仿真且资源受限的研究场景
基于大语言模型(LLM)的多智能体系统虽具强大推理能力,但难以高效扩展且时序状态转换校准不足;传统代理模型(ABM)可解释性强,却难整合个体层面复杂信号与非平稳行为。我们提出PhysicsAgentABM,将推理聚焦于行为一致的代理集群:状态专用符号代理编码机制性转移先验,多模态神经转移模型捕捉时空与交互动态,不确定性感知的信念融合生成校准的集群级转移分布。个体代理在局部约束下随机实现转移,解耦群体推断与个体变异性。进一步提出ANCHOR,一种基于跨上下文行为响应与新型对比损失的LLM驱动聚类策略,减少6-8倍的LLM调用。在公共卫生、金融与社会科学多个任务中,事件时间准确率与校准性均优于机制、神经及LLM基线。通过以群体级推断为核心,结合不确定性感知的神经符号融合,PhysicsAgentABM为可扩展、可校准的生成式模拟树立新范式。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Large language model (LLM)-based multi-agent systems enable expressive agent reasoning but are expensive to scale and poorly calibrated for timestep-aligned state-transition simulation, while classical agent-based models (ABMs) offer interpretability but struggle to integrate rich individual-level signals and non-stationary behaviors. We propose PhysicsAgentABM, which shifts inference to behaviorally coherent agent clusters: state-specialized symbolic agents encode mechanistic transition priors, a multimodal neural transition model captures temporal and interaction dynamics, and uncertainty-aware epistemic fusion yields calibrated cluster-level transition distributions. Individual agents then stochastically realize transitions under local constraints, decoupling population inference from entity-level variability. We further introduce ANCHOR, an LLM agent-driven clustering strategy based on cross-contextual behavioral responses and a novel contrastive loss, reducing LLM calls by up to 6-8 times. Experiments across public health, finance, and social sciences show consistent gains in event-time accuracy and calibration over mechanistic, neural, and LLM baselines. By re-architecting generative ABM around population-level inference with uncertainty-aware neuro-symbolic fusion, PhysicsAgentABM establishes a new paradigm for scalable and calibrated simulation with LLMs.
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